| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.0596 | -0.0333 | -0.5703 | 0.1882 | 0.2107 | -0.4959 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.7659 ) | (0.7742 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0.4668 ) | (0.1527 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.0343 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.2236 | 0.2193 | -0.4975 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.8355 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.2983 ) | (0.1194 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.5785 | 0.2593 | 0.2174 | -0.493 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) | (0.0399 ) | (0.1261 ) | (2e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.4006 | 0.2538 | 0 | -0.4033 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0027 ) | (0.0578 ) | (NA ) | (0.003 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | -0.4493 | 0 | 0 | -0.4456 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (6e-04 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (7e-04 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 0.0659998586531876 |
| 7.11317049010586 |
| -4.00028020953005 |
| -0.829281690327558 |
| -7.26402836432781 |
| -19.6443655655486 |
| 2.13601740923758 |
| 15.9018362973828 |
| -6.30022049104754 |
| 0.29811367037161 |
| -6.02468679733518 |
| -14.3584498772669 |
| 12.3078080197465 |
| -7.89088252625244 |
| 6.73553599445933 |
| -6.80689839578075 |
| 0.146855275991319 |
| -9.51438409860317 |
| 3.09544775095415 |
| -3.4985412254897 |
| 1.82155072634335 |
| -11.2675331878107 |
| 3.27485301895186 |
| 14.4249639174387 |
| 4.69327618851778 |
| -6.51545609165954 |
| 11.0534716554422 |
| 0.979294091752939 |
| -16.2702793906153 |
| -3.99625872386526 |
| -0.729659323169279 |
| 6.29105887138948 |
| -10.4715408783828 |
| -16.8715939996242 |
| 15.0101506328549 |
| -12.6244532600899 |
| -7.08528698515975 |
| 13.0019600766164 |
| -13.6265451969845 |
| -1.03389269745279 |
| -15.446058052406 |
| -15.3379086940343 |
| -11.5738672544939 |
| 3.20723103384601 |
| -7.92417745858534 |
| 8.38338760822826 |
| 0.488406974445912 |
| 5.00583157792409 |
| -3.29622141285212 |
| 2.09554866057298 |
| 8.46115719232663 |
| -6.75685660385669 |
| -7.7294267444843 |
| -12.7024082587581 |
| -1.65985830812579 |
| 15.0796827236287 |
| 9.69602427374221 |
| -7.05472875820022 |
| -8.32213953996921 |
| 5.68585303829165 |
| -4.63068754237705 |
| -1.80606977923156 |
| 3.10815679914744 |
| 1.57787222490351 |
| -14.9164224722983 |
| 2.8088431735065 |
| 13.3325084557501 |
| 8.19061153228241 |
| 5.07648367301061 |
| 10.7674713810703 |
