| Estimated Parameters of Exponential Smoothing | |
| Parameter | Value |
| alpha | 1 |
| beta | 0.0734210921061535 |
| gamma | FALSE |
| Interpolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Observed | Fitted | Residuals |
| 3 | 9.95 | 9.98 | -0.0300000000000011 |
| 4 | 9.96 | 9.93779736723681 | 0.0222026327631859 |
| 5 | 9.97 | 9.94942750878192 | 0.0205724912180791 |
| 6 | 9.95 | 9.9609379635545 | -0.0109379635544968 |
| 7 | 9.94 | 9.94013488632491 | -0.000134886324907768 |
| 8 | 9.9 | 9.93012498282362 | -0.0301249828236223 |
| 9 | 9.9 | 9.88791317368503 | 0.0120868263149667 |
| 10 | 9.92 | 9.88880060167318 | 0.0311993983268248 |
| 11 | 9.87 | 9.91109129557139 | -0.0410912955713858 |
| 12 | 9.96 | 9.85807432777448 | 0.101925672225523 |
| 13 | 9.94 | 9.95555782194293 | -0.0155578219429309 |
| 14 | 9.96 | 9.93441554966509 | 0.0255844503349145 |
| 15 | 9.96 | 9.95629398794961 | 0.00370601205038845 |
| 16 | 9.89 | 9.95656608740171 | -0.0665660874017107 |
| 17 | 9.82 | 9.88167873256744 | -0.0616787325674437 |
| 18 | 9.83 | 9.80715021266262 | 0.0228497873373819 |
| 19 | 9.83 | 9.81882786900332 | 0.0111721309966786 |
| 20 | 9.82 | 9.81964813906225 | 0.000351860937749748 |
| 21 | 9.77 | 9.80967397307657 | -0.0396739730765709 |
| 22 | 9.66 | 9.7567610666451 | -0.0967610666450973 |
| 23 | 9.69 | 9.63965676345866 | 0.050343236541341 |
| 24 | 9.67 | 9.67335301886568 | -0.00335301886568118 |
| 25 | 9.7 | 9.65310683655871 | 0.0468931634412879 |
| 26 | 9.77 | 9.68654978383088 | 0.0834502161691173 |
| 27 | 9.79 | 9.76267678983851 | 0.0273232101614855 |
| 28 | 9.81 | 9.78468288976842 | 0.025317110231585 |
| 29 | 9.77 | 9.80654169965059 | -0.0365416996505914 |
| 30 | 9.78 | 9.76385876815483 | 0.0161412318451699 |
| 31 | 9.77 | 9.77504387502484 | -0.00504387502484072 |
| 32 | 9.79 | 9.76467354821207 | 0.0253264517879295 |
| 33 | 9.77 | 9.78653304396151 | -0.0165330439615126 |
| 34 | 9.77 | 9.76531916981802 | 0.00468083018198051 |
| 35 | 9.8 | 9.76566284148194 | 0.0343371585180563 |
| 36 | 9.8 | 9.79818391316016 | 0.00181608683983825 |
| 37 | 9.8 | 9.7983172522393 | 0.00168274776069666 |
| 38 | 9.8 | 9.79844080141763 | 0.00155919858236686 |
| 39 | 9.76 | 9.79855527948036 | -0.0385552794803612 |
| 40 | 9.78 | 9.75572450875445 | 0.024275491245545 |
| 41 | 9.77 | 9.77750684183311 | -0.00750684183311456 |
| 42 | 9.79 | 9.76695568130746 | 0.0230443186925395 |
| 43 | 9.81 | 9.78864762035271 | 0.0213523796472934 |
| 44 | 9.82 | 9.81021533538548 | 0.00978466461452143 |
| 45 | 9.84 | 9.82093373614737 | 0.0190662638526309 |
| 46 | 9.87 | 9.84233360206181 | 0.0276663979381873 |
| 47 | 9.99 | 9.87436489921308 | 0.115635100786923 |
| 48 | 9.99 | 10.0028549545987 | -0.0128549545986587 |
| 49 | 9.99 | 10.0019111297931 | -0.0119111297930505 |
| 50 | 10.08 | 10.0010366016354 | 0.0789633983645732 |
| 51 | 10.06 | 10.0968341805798 | -0.036834180579767 |
| 52 | 10.08 | 10.0741297748148 | 0.00587022518523383 |
| 53 | 10.07 | 10.0945607731588 | -0.0245607731587736 |
| 54 | 10.04 | 10.0827574943705 | -0.0427574943704858 |
| 55 | 10.04 | 10.0496181924381 | -0.00961819243808115 |
| 56 | 10.12 | 10.0489120142452 | 0.0710879857548097 |
| 57 | 10.1 | 10.1341313717949 | -0.0341313717949348 |
| 58 | 10.11 | 10.1116254092027 | -0.00162540920267062 |
| 59 | 10.13 | 10.1215060698839 | 0.00849393011610999 |
| 60 | 10.16 | 10.1421297035093 | 0.0178702964907114 |
| 61 | 10.15 | 10.1734417601939 | -0.0234417601938972 |
| 62 | 10.25 | 10.1617206405596 | 0.0882793594404294 |
| 63 | 10.41 | 10.2682022075401 | 0.141797792459881 |
| 64 | 10.46 | 10.4386131563208 | 0.0213868436792364 |
| 65 | 10.46 | 10.4901834017404 | -0.0301834017403984 |
| 66 | 10.5 | 10.4879673034211 | 0.01203269657886 |
| 67 | 10.5 | 10.5288507571449 | -0.0288507571449408 |
| 68 | 10.48 | 10.5267325030473 | -0.0467325030472701 |
| 69 | 10.5 | 10.5033013516367 | -0.00330135163668643 |
| 70 | 10.5 | 10.5230589627941 | -0.023058962794094 |
| 71 | 10.53 | 10.5213659485629 | 0.00863405143708285 |
| 72 | 10.53 | 10.5519998700487 | -0.0219998700487274 |
| Extrapolation Forecasts of Exponential Smoothing | |||
| t | Forecast | 95% Lower Bound | 95% Upper Bound |
| 73 | 10.5503846155636 | 10.4686382196474 | 10.6321310114797 |
| 74 | 10.5707692311271 | 10.4508432607227 | 10.6906952015315 |
| 75 | 10.5911538466907 | 10.4389324906471 | 10.7433752027342 |
| 76 | 10.6115384622542 | 10.4295444303209 | 10.7935324941876 |
| 77 | 10.6319230778178 | 10.421433782395 | 10.8424123732405 |
| 78 | 10.6523076933813 | 10.413990395311 | 10.8906249914517 |
| 79 | 10.6726923089449 | 10.4068689715296 | 10.9385156463602 |
| 80 | 10.6930769245084 | 10.399855974043 | 10.9862978749739 |
| 81 | 10.713461540072 | 10.3928112357986 | 11.0341118443454 |
| 82 | 10.7338461556356 | 10.3856387920286 | 11.0820535192425 |
| 83 | 10.7542307711991 | 10.3782709023972 | 11.130190640001 |
| 84 | 10.7746153867627 | 10.3706586711258 | 11.1785721023995 |
