| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.3888 | 0.103 | 0.128 | -0.8059 | 0.3182 | 0.0507 | -0.9999 |
| (p-val) | (0.3094 ) | (0.6175 ) | (0.4358 ) | (0.0284 ) | (0.1021 ) | (0.7926 ) | (0.1362 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.3853 | 0.1049 | 0.1237 | -0.7987 | 0.2994 | 0 | -1.0289 |
| (p-val) | (0.3623 ) | (0.6312 ) | (0.4614 ) | (0.051 ) | (0.2315 ) | (NA ) | (0.64 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.4012 | 0.0826 | 0.1493 | -0.8509 | -0.3528 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.0715 ) | (0.6071 ) | (0.3064 ) | (0 ) | (0.007 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.3476 | 0 | 0.1432 | -0.7791 | -0.3536 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.301 ) | (NA ) | (0.3818 ) | (0.0071 ) | (0.0066 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.1453 | 0 | 0 | -0.5846 | -0.3462 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (0.6512 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0378 ) | (0.0082 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.4653 | -0.3465 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (3e-04 ) | (0.0083 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -38.4461847117351 |
| 113.11157569364 |
| 255.807824542105 |
| 275.149609216011 |
| -414.833380158155 |
| -171.756292227383 |
| 10.9545173670425 |
| 249.347047127058 |
| 62.1266933074453 |
| 193.930831761076 |
| 426.587208129392 |
| 387.342611432892 |
| 796.481990250964 |
| 315.725700497566 |
| 31.1074871457349 |
| -535.808472744989 |
| 792.165572610926 |
| -318.273732119279 |
| -124.574609815105 |
| -148.838727659206 |
| -347.277961417227 |
| -345.755554840151 |
| 94.2988573843739 |
| -9.47463445560796 |
| 427.287210508368 |
| 757.308806643704 |
| -225.83952393358 |
| 135.219764319048 |
| -331.336317759695 |
| -213.660097581396 |
| 457.527136413806 |
| -302.49819413507 |
| -1.3598229481407 |
| 204.595926080055 |
| -202.909123035029 |
| 789.35382067079 |
| -132.775959075187 |
| -380.842852767016 |
| 111.183978829777 |
| 394.844584892851 |
| -27.7403533168322 |
| 160.68862671007 |
| 471.880873444075 |
| -353.649442231667 |
| 97.1158621421853 |
| 214.582208765485 |
| 8.79705728309033 |
| 87.3055095117799 |
| -250.271296856999 |
| -413.426932465098 |
| 90.4530475833671 |
| 49.120193388336 |
| 251.161592912793 |
| 57.6259476077351 |
| -167.351295344346 |
| 451.781336190016 |
| 512.970695838594 |
| -293.826972792862 |
| 65.6932502597826 |
| 7.66162985321229 |
