Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[49])
37	351.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
38	252	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
39	188	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
40	146.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
41	152.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
42	148.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
43	165.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
44	177	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
45	206.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
46	244.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
47	228.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
48	253.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
49	241.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
50	261.4	249.6232	206.172	293.0743	0.2976	0.6497	0.4573	0.6497
51	273.7	239.6506	159.8823	319.4189	0.2014	0.2965	0.8978	0.4858
52	263.7	244.6518	123.9964	365.3072	0.3785	0.3185	0.9446	0.523
53	272.5	239.0258	85.6247	392.4268	0.3344	0.3763	0.8644	0.4894
54	263.2	242.6671	59.3401	425.9941	0.4131	0.3749	0.844	0.5067
55	279.8	239.5933	31.9221	447.2644	0.3522	0.4118	0.759	0.4943
56	298.1	242.0321	12.156	471.9082	0.3163	0.3737	0.7104	0.5032
57	267.6	240.2134	-8.9492	489.376	0.4147	0.3244	0.6058	0.4972
58	264.3	241.7219	-25.5885	509.0323	0.4343	0.4248	0.4907	0.5018
59	264.3	240.5887	-43.3022	524.4797	0.435	0.435	0.533	0.4986
60	268.7	241.5004	-58.2741	541.2749	0.4294	0.4407	0.469	0.501
61	269.1	240.792	-73.8864	555.4704	0.43	0.431	0.4992	0.4992

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
50	0.0888	0.0472	0	138.6934	0	0
51	0.1698	0.1421	0.0946	1159.3628	649.0281	25.476
52	0.2516	0.0779	0.089	362.8343	553.6302	23.5293
53	0.3274	0.14	0.1018	1120.5229	695.3534	26.3696
54	0.3854	0.0846	0.0984	421.6014	640.603	25.3101
55	0.4422	0.1678	0.1099	1616.5795	803.2657	28.3419
56	0.4846	0.2317	0.1273	3143.6096	1137.6006	33.7283
57	0.5292	0.114	0.1257	750.0262	1089.1538	33.0023
58	0.5642	0.0934	0.1221	509.7714	1024.7779	32.0122
59	0.602	0.0986	0.1197	562.2235	978.5225	31.2813
60	0.6333	0.1126	0.1191	739.8197	956.8222	30.9325
61	0.6668	0.1176	0.119	801.3435	943.8657	30.7224