| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | ||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | 0.5768 | 0.2703 | -0.3164 | 0.0876 | -0.3961 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0.0269 ) | (0.2459 ) | (0.1402 ) | (0.7364 ) | (0.0866 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0.6483 | 0.234 | -0.3386 | 0 | -0.4053 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (0.31 ) | (0.0768 ) | (NA ) | (0.0705 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0.6613 | 0 | -0.1749 | 0 | -0.1874 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.149 ) | (NA ) | (0.2396 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0.5777 | 0 | -0.1425 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.2371 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0.5618 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| (p-val) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| -51.6977196343876 |
| 40209.0507856846 |
| 48633.4774560279 |
| -74547.5765302506 |
| -12816.6270547151 |
| 34861.5067301163 |
| -3110.70970959667 |
| -39456.156498867 |
| -57676.6511655809 |
| 32941.1145845998 |
| -11766.6577226873 |
| 34086.8003385387 |
| -28062.9002416646 |
| -18190.0316883854 |
| -8076.4581058975 |
| 2909.46657991220 |
| -9861.69890922903 |
| -4090.25016272560 |
| 16604.3486859578 |
| -8081.28732735211 |
| 20036.0732932689 |
| 4883.55881551679 |
| -31289.1933635629 |
| 8805.67255396756 |
| 5070.69598835975 |
| 16514.6300390364 |
| -9273.49362114546 |
| 2640.02800458699 |
| 75525.1840072356 |
| 10554.8953257018 |
| -2592.67301687527 |
| 12364.7302679348 |
| 4368.21164013501 |
| 10797.1072977690 |
| 80972.7325712931 |
| 15905.3276073533 |
| 7591.233249733 |
| -24697.9056365938 |
| -35519.1690846237 |
| -2707.71812895116 |
| -1028.19685872257 |
| -45387.9952099879 |
| -25486.1389021401 |
| 150.862446738259 |
| 26976.0730239868 |
| 18834.8495686143 |
| 42082.9178558034 |
| -3076.12461167186 |
| -22378.2268959771 |
| -5409.9450288734 |
| 2619.76816731553 |
| -37355.4853124137 |
| 16689.5921583275 |
| -39519.7133883101 |
| 5429.0053282835 |
| 20514.5658360809 |
| 25528.7063570968 |
| 4596.12301204509 |
