| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.4351 | 0.0213 | 0.1052 | 0.2138 | -0.4976 |
| (p-val) | (0.5548 ) | (0.9309 ) | (0.5179 ) | (0.7674 ) | (0.0771 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | -0.4821 | 0 | 0.1011 | 0.2566 | -0.5012 |
| (p-val) | (0.3585 ) | (NA ) | (0.5043 ) | (0.6423 ) | (0.0733 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | -0.2375 | 0 | 0.0718 | 0 | -0.5166 |
| (p-val) | (0.1467 ) | (NA ) | (0.6533 ) | (NA ) | (0.0694 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | -0.2315 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5029 |
| (p-val) | (0.1564 ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0683 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.5018 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0681 ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 90.4739433710058 |
| 25566.3904483679 |
| 4821.92658684064 |
| 17893.3606986382 |
| 45872.0843321778 |
| -1523.83802789119 |
| 2151.35759243877 |
| -98509.652279934 |
| 63265.8658020248 |
| 1719.65580320034 |
| -35001.0035774876 |
| 3005.77040454296 |
| 5898.04972945825 |
| 3190.21337128747 |
| -23556.9396509915 |
| 54318.6126865668 |
| -112214.174705973 |
| 8717.44161965584 |
| -11033.0563143182 |
| -63022.8330524203 |
| 52166.8952351226 |
| 23540.381017545 |
| 26865.2701351068 |
| 42543.8128374336 |
| 71621.6069073836 |
| -10054.2796284391 |
| 59059.5277314703 |
| -58791.8789263122 |
| 3981.19905635485 |
| -23129.1222890336 |
| -11618.2270405144 |
| 21992.2251427346 |
| 89498.0808470185 |
| -31217.1653311931 |
| -22494.1700769178 |
| -7444.3818564303 |
| -19284.8340394905 |
