| ARIMA Parameter Estimation and Backward Selection | |||||||
| Iteration | ar1 | ar2 | ar3 | ma1 | sar1 | sar2 | sma1 |
| Estimates ( 1 ) | -0.1154 | 0.1013 | 0.4285 | -0.3974 | 1.1552 | -0.1557 | -0.9531 |
| (p-val) | (0.6538 ) | (0.5269 ) | (0.0018 ) | (0.136 ) | (0 ) | (0.5308 ) | (1e-04 ) |
| Estimates ( 2 ) | 0 | 0.1275 | 0.4195 | -0.4977 | 1.1411 | -0.1452 | -0.8732 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3461 ) | (0.0014 ) | (3e-04 ) | (0 ) | (0.5389 ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 3 ) | 0 | 0.1351 | 0.4249 | -0.5225 | 0.9932 | 0 | -0.819 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (0.3159 ) | (0.0013 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0 ) |
| Estimates ( 4 ) | 0 | 0 | 0.4107 | -0.4847 | 0.9909 | 0 | -0.8102 |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (0.0029 ) | (0 ) | (0 ) | (NA ) | (0.001 ) |
| Estimates ( 5 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 6 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 7 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 8 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 9 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 10 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 11 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 12 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimates ( 13 ) | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA | NA |
| (p-val) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) | (NA ) |
| Estimated ARIMA Residuals |
| Value |
| 16.1988599735077 |
| 159.841119490246 |
| 1549.67142524040 |
| -1024.11814425050 |
| 383.233686647655 |
| -134.563669610312 |
| -474.94302697449 |
| -1508.28031399804 |
| 951.07301276099 |
| 1399.78212765079 |
| 873.13607917128 |
| -2245.70449945366 |
| 266.659365836449 |
| -127.110442013115 |
| 537.048673164794 |
| 78.7668176540466 |
| -120.915588459686 |
| 381.649524667616 |
| 496.096144452318 |
| -435.626262425421 |
| -828.009564868515 |
| 1271.76192430721 |
| -352.85768186968 |
| -1059.35134861948 |
| 309.868901068508 |
| 975.086127962843 |
| -1269.14890855092 |
| 2298.77052357818 |
| -980.260879937392 |
| 453.369048855025 |
| -190.152890819249 |
| -1430.48514207704 |
| 516.163552501602 |
| -1164.75072416619 |
| -2993.85175891404 |
| -1527.52992282709 |
| -1353.09085473389 |
| 836.678980080214 |
| -193.401726989339 |
| 934.627074837129 |
| -680.90115570425 |
| 889.901166581012 |
| 585.54485378985 |
| 650.062128417472 |
| 528.340179940928 |
| -301.486962743239 |
| 1355.2634264252 |
| 1867.94958351750 |
| -276.705030601093 |
| -662.135510467727 |
| 951.894949628713 |
| 253.460934566466 |
| -424.087824890225 |
| 871.067544401597 |
| -290.010859483347 |
