| Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | |||||
| t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random |
| 1 | 158 | NA | NA | -0.843171296296301 | NA |
| 2 | 157 | NA | NA | -2.53067129629629 | NA |
| 3 | 156 | NA | NA | -6.83622685185185 | NA |
| 4 | 154 | NA | NA | -1.06539351851852 | NA |
| 5 | 152 | NA | NA | -1.74594907407407 | NA |
| 6 | 151 | NA | NA | 1.89988425925926 | NA |
| 7 | 152 | 151.955439814815 | 154.75 | -2.79456018518518 | 0.0445601851851904 |
| 8 | 154 | 152.767939814815 | 154.458333333333 | -1.69039351851852 | 1.23206018518522 |
| 9 | 155 | 155.809606481481 | 153.791666666667 | 2.01793981481480 | -0.809606481481495 |
| 10 | 155 | 157.254050925926 | 152.791666666667 | 4.46238425925926 | -2.25405092592592 |
| 11 | 156 | 155.066550925926 | 151.75 | 3.31655092592592 | 0.933449074074048 |
| 12 | 158 | 156.809606481481 | 151 | 5.80960648148149 | 1.19039351851850 |
| 13 | 156 | 149.531828703704 | 150.375 | -0.843171296296301 | 6.46817129629628 |
| 14 | 152 | 146.927662037037 | 149.458333333333 | -2.53067129629629 | 5.07233796296299 |
| 15 | 145 | 141.622106481481 | 148.458333333333 | -6.83622685185185 | 3.37789351851853 |
| 16 | 141 | 146.267939814815 | 147.333333333333 | -1.06539351851852 | -5.26793981481481 |
| 17 | 140 | 144.295717592593 | 146.041666666667 | -1.74594907407407 | -4.29571759259258 |
| 18 | 145 | 146.649884259259 | 144.75 | 1.89988425925926 | -1.64988425925930 |
| 19 | 143 | 140.663773148148 | 143.458333333333 | -2.79456018518518 | 2.33622685185188 |
| 20 | 141 | 140.309606481481 | 142 | -1.69039351851852 | 0.690393518518533 |
| 21 | 144 | 142.226273148148 | 140.208333333333 | 2.01793981481480 | 1.77372685185185 |
| 22 | 139 | 142.920717592593 | 138.458333333333 | 4.46238425925926 | -3.92071759259258 |
| 23 | 141 | 140.441550925926 | 137.125 | 3.31655092592592 | 0.558449074074076 |
| 24 | 142 | 141.684606481481 | 135.875 | 5.80960648148149 | 0.315393518518533 |
| 25 | 141 | 133.448495370370 | 134.291666666667 | -0.843171296296301 | 7.55150462962965 |
| 26 | 132 | 130.135995370370 | 132.666666666667 | -2.53067129629629 | 1.86400462962965 |
| 27 | 122 | 124.413773148148 | 131.25 | -6.83622685185185 | -2.41377314814815 |
| 28 | 122 | 129.059606481481 | 130.125 | -1.06539351851852 | -7.05960648148148 |
| 29 | 127 | 127.379050925926 | 129.125 | -1.74594907407407 | -0.379050925925924 |
| 30 | 128 | 129.941550925926 | 128.041666666667 | 1.89988425925926 | -1.94155092592592 |
| 31 | 122 | 123.997106481481 | 126.791666666667 | -2.79456018518518 | -1.99710648148150 |
| 32 | 123 | 123.934606481481 | 125.625 | -1.69039351851852 | -0.934606481481495 |
| 33 | 128 | 126.642939814815 | 124.625 | 2.01793981481480 | 1.35706018518519 |
| 34 | 128 | 128.045717592593 | 123.583333333333 | 4.46238425925926 | -0.0457175925925952 |
| 35 | 128 | 125.566550925926 | 122.25 | 3.31655092592592 | 2.43344907407406 |
| 36 | 129 | 126.351273148148 | 120.541666666667 | 5.80960648148149 | 2.64872685185185 |
| 37 | 124 | 118.073495370370 | 118.916666666667 | -0.843171296296301 | 5.92650462962965 |
| 38 | 121 | 115.094328703704 | 117.625 | -2.53067129629629 | 5.90567129629629 |
| 39 | 109 | 109.663773148148 | 116.5 | -6.83622685185185 | -0.663773148148138 |
| 40 | 110 | 114.434606481481 | 115.5 | -1.06539351851852 | -4.43460648148147 |
| 41 | 107 | 112.879050925926 | 114.625 | -1.74594907407407 | -5.87905092592591 |
| 42 | 107 | 115.774884259259 | 113.875 | 1.89988425925926 | -8.77488425925925 |
| 43 | 104 | 110.330439814815 | 113.125 | -2.79456018518518 | -6.33043981481482 |
| 44 | 110 | 110.351273148148 | 112.041666666667 | -1.69039351851852 | -0.351273148148152 |
| 45 | 114 | 113.142939814815 | 111.125 | 2.01793981481480 | 0.857060185185162 |
| 46 | 118 | 115.337384259259 | 110.875 | 4.46238425925926 | 2.66261574074072 |
| 47 | 117 | 114.191550925926 | 110.875 | 3.31655092592592 | 2.80844907407409 |
| 48 | 122 | 116.767939814815 | 110.958333333333 | 5.80960648148149 | 5.23206018518519 |
| 49 | 113 | 110.281828703704 | 111.125 | -0.843171296296301 | 2.71817129629632 |
| 50 | 106 | 108.385995370370 | 110.916666666667 | -2.53067129629629 | -2.38599537037037 |
| 51 | 102 | 103.497106481481 | 110.333333333333 | -6.83622685185185 | -1.49710648148148 |
| 52 | 111 | 108.601273148148 | 109.666666666667 | -1.06539351851852 | 2.39872685185185 |
| 53 | 106 | 107.170717592593 | 108.916666666667 | -1.74594907407407 | -1.17071759259261 |
| 54 | 110 | 109.941550925926 | 108.041666666667 | 1.89988425925926 | 0.0584490740740762 |
| 55 | 105 | 104.288773148148 | 107.083333333333 | -2.79456018518518 | 0.711226851851862 |
| 56 | 104 | 104.851273148148 | 106.541666666667 | -1.69039351851852 | -0.851273148148152 |
| 57 | 106 | 108.767939814815 | 106.75 | 2.01793981481480 | -2.76793981481481 |
| 58 | 110 | 112.004050925926 | 107.541666666667 | 4.46238425925926 | -2.00405092592592 |
| 59 | 107 | 112.066550925926 | 108.75 | 3.31655092592592 | -5.06655092592591 |
| 60 | 111 | 115.976273148148 | 110.166666666667 | 5.80960648148149 | -4.97627314814814 |
| 61 | 101 | 110.865162037037 | 111.708333333333 | -0.843171296296301 | -9.86516203703704 |
| 62 | 105 | 110.677662037037 | 113.208333333333 | -2.53067129629629 | -5.67766203703704 |
| 63 | 108 | 107.872106481481 | 114.708333333333 | -6.83622685185185 | 0.127893518518505 |
| 64 | 124 | 115.434606481481 | 116.5 | -1.06539351851852 | 8.56539351851852 |
| 65 | 122 | 116.545717592593 | 118.291666666667 | -1.74594907407407 | 5.45428240740742 |
| 66 | 128 | 121.608217592593 | 119.708333333333 | 1.89988425925926 | 6.3917824074074 |
| 67 | 124 | 117.955439814815 | 120.75 | -2.79456018518518 | 6.04456018518519 |
| 68 | 121 | 119.976273148148 | 121.666666666667 | -1.69039351851852 | 1.02372685185186 |
| 69 | 125 | 124.601273148148 | 122.583333333333 | 2.01793981481480 | 0.398726851851862 |
| 70 | 134 | 127.629050925926 | 123.166666666667 | 4.46238425925926 | 6.37094907407406 |
| 71 | 126 | 126.858217592593 | 123.541666666667 | 3.31655092592592 | -0.858217592592567 |
| 72 | 126 | 129.601273148148 | 123.791666666667 | 5.80960648148149 | -3.60127314814814 |
| 73 | 111 | 122.990162037037 | 123.833333333333 | -0.843171296296301 | -11.9901620370370 |
| 74 | 117 | 120.969328703704 | 123.5 | -2.53067129629629 | -3.96932870370372 |
| 75 | 118 | 116.122106481481 | 122.958333333333 | -6.83622685185185 | 1.87789351851852 |
| 76 | 128 | 121.392939814815 | 122.458333333333 | -1.06539351851852 | 6.6070601851852 |
| 77 | 127 | 119.920717592593 | 121.666666666667 | -1.74594907407407 | 7.07928240740742 |
| 78 | 129 | 122.274884259259 | 120.375 | 1.89988425925926 | 6.72511574074075 |
| 79 | 124 | NA | NA | -2.79456018518518 | NA |
| 80 | 113 | NA | NA | -1.69039351851852 | NA |
| 81 | 120 | NA | NA | 2.01793981481480 | NA |
| 82 | 127 | NA | NA | 4.46238425925926 | NA |
| 83 | 114 | NA | NA | 3.31655092592592 | NA |
| 84 | 107 | NA | NA | 5.80960648148149 | NA |
