| Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation |
| Totaal[t] = + 127.441258741259 + 11.4961538461539`9/11`[t] + 3.38801476301479M1[t] + 5.40446775446775M2[t] + 7.21258741258741M3[t] + 7.36237373737374M4[t] + 9.41216006216006M5[t] + 6.76194638694639M6[t] + 4.35339937839938M7[t] + 2.31151903651904M8[t] + 3.56963869463870M9[t] -2.45295260295260M10[t] -1.53993783993784M11[t] -0.158119658119658t + e[t] |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares | |||||
| Variable | Parameter | S.D. | T-STAT H0: parameter = 0 | 2-tail p-value | 1-tail p-value |
| (Intercept) | 127.441258741259 | 8.647778 | 14.7369 | 0 | 0 |
| `9/11` | 11.4961538461539 | 8.511764 | 1.3506 | 0.179219 | 0.08961 |
| M1 | 3.38801476301479 | 10.472919 | 0.3235 | 0.746847 | 0.373423 |
| M2 | 5.40446775446775 | 10.47157 | 0.5161 | 0.606676 | 0.303338 |
| M3 | 7.21258741258741 | 10.471266 | 0.6888 | 0.492207 | 0.246103 |
| M4 | 7.36237373737374 | 10.472007 | 0.7031 | 0.48331 | 0.241655 |
| M5 | 9.41216006216006 | 10.473794 | 0.8986 | 0.370546 | 0.185273 |
| M6 | 6.76194638694639 | 10.476625 | 0.6454 | 0.519812 | 0.259906 |
| M7 | 4.35339937839938 | 10.4805 | 0.4154 | 0.678564 | 0.339282 |
| M8 | 2.31151903651904 | 10.485418 | 0.2205 | 0.825874 | 0.412937 |
| M9 | 3.56963869463870 | 10.491376 | 0.3402 | 0.734234 | 0.367117 |
| M10 | -2.45295260295260 | 10.711542 | -0.229 | 0.819237 | 0.409618 |
| M11 | -1.53993783993784 | 10.695166 | -0.144 | 0.885741 | 0.44287 |
| t | -0.158119658119658 | 0.104627 | -1.5113 | 0.133203 | 0.066601 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics | |
| Multiple R | 0.196747891442341 |
| R-squared | 0.0387097327870072 |
| Adjusted R-squared | -0.0596900583450315 |
| F-TEST (value) | 0.39339242839514 |
| F-TEST (DF numerator) | 13 |
| F-TEST (DF denominator) | 127 |
| p-value | 0.969820277163018 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics | |
| Residual Standard Deviation | 25.0811877331051 |
| Sum Squared Residuals | 79891.3792191142 |
| Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals | |||
| Time or Index | Actuals | Interpolation Forecast | Residuals Prediction Error |
| 1 | 153.4 | 130.671153846154 | 22.7288461538465 |
| 2 | 159.5 | 132.529487179487 | 26.9705128205128 |
| 3 | 157.4 | 134.179487179487 | 23.2205128205128 |
| 4 | 169.1 | 134.171153846154 | 34.9288461538461 |
| 5 | 172.6 | 136.062820512821 | 36.5371794871795 |
| 6 | 161.7 | 133.254487179487 | 28.4455128205128 |
| 7 | 159.2 | 130.687820512821 | 28.5121794871795 |
| 8 | 157.4 | 128.487820512821 | 28.9121794871795 |
| 9 | 153.9 | 129.587820512821 | 24.3121794871795 |
| 10 | 144.8 | 123.407109557110 | 21.3928904428904 |
| 11 | 142.2 | 124.162004662005 | 18.0379953379953 |
| 12 | 140.1 | 125.543822843823 | 14.5561771561771 |
| 13 | 143.4 | 128.773717948718 | 14.6262820512820 |
| 14 | 153.3 | 130.632051282051 | 22.6679487179487 |
| 15 | 166.9 | 132.282051282051 | 34.6179487179487 |
| 16 | 170.6 | 132.273717948718 | 38.3262820512820 |
| 17 | 182.8 | 134.165384615385 | 48.6346153846154 |
| 18 | 170.3 | 131.357051282051 | 38.9429487179487 |
| 19 | 156.6 | 128.790384615385 | 27.8096153846154 |
| 20 | 155.2 | 126.590384615385 | 28.6096153846154 |
| 21 | 154.7 | 127.690384615385 | 27.0096153846154 |
| 22 | 151.6 | 121.509673659674 | 30.0903263403263 |
| 23 | 152.1 | 122.264568764569 | 29.8354312354312 |
| 24 | 153.2 | 123.646386946387 | 29.5536130536130 |
| 25 | 149.5 | 126.876282051282 | 22.6237179487179 |
| 26 | 149.7 | 128.734615384615 | 20.9653846153846 |
| 27 | 144.3 | 130.384615384615 | 13.9153846153846 |
| 28 | 140 | 130.376282051282 | 9.62371794871795 |
| 29 | 137.8 | 132.267948717949 | 5.53205128205129 |
| 30 | 132.2 | 129.459615384615 | 2.74038461538460 |
| 31 | 128.9 | 126.892948717949 | 2.00705128205129 |
| 32 | 123.1 | 124.692948717949 | -1.59294871794872 |
| 33 | 120.4 | 125.792948717949 | -5.39294871794872 |
| 34 | 122.8 | 119.612237762238 | 3.18776223776224 |
| 35 | 126 | 120.367132867133 | 5.63286713286713 |
| 36 | 124.5 | 121.748951048951 | 2.75104895104895 |
| 37 | 120.6 | 124.978846153846 | -4.37884615384619 |
| 38 | 114.7 | 126.837179487179 | -12.1371794871795 |
| 39 | 111.7 | 128.487179487180 | -16.7871794871795 |
| 40 | 109.1 | 128.478846153846 | -19.3788461538462 |
| 41 | 108 | 130.370512820513 | -22.3705128205128 |
| 42 | 107.7 | 127.562179487179 | -19.8621794871795 |
| 43 | 99.9 | 124.995512820513 | -25.0955128205128 |
| 44 | 103.7 | 122.795512820513 | -19.0955128205128 |
| 45 | 103.4 | 123.895512820513 | -20.4955128205128 |
| 46 | 103.4 | 117.714801864802 | -14.3148018648019 |
| 47 | 104.7 | 118.469696969697 | -13.7696969696970 |
| 48 | 105.8 | 119.851515151515 | -14.0515151515152 |
| 49 | 105.3 | 123.081410256410 | -17.7814102564103 |
| 50 | 103 | 124.939743589744 | -21.9397435897436 |
| 51 | 103.8 | 126.589743589744 | -22.7897435897436 |
| 52 | 103.4 | 126.581410256410 | -23.1814102564102 |
| 53 | 105.8 | 128.473076923077 | -22.6730769230769 |
| 54 | 101.4 | 125.664743589744 | -24.2647435897436 |
| 55 | 97 | 123.098076923077 | -26.0980769230769 |
| 56 | 94.3 | 120.898076923077 | -26.5980769230769 |
| 57 | 96.6 | 121.998076923077 | -25.3980769230769 |
| 58 | 97.1 | 115.817365967366 | -18.7173659673660 |
| 59 | 95.7 | 116.572261072261 | -20.8722610722611 |
| 60 | 96.9 | 117.954079254079 | -21.0540792540792 |
| 61 | 97.4 | 121.183974358974 | -23.7839743589744 |
| 62 | 95.3 | 123.042307692308 | -27.7423076923077 |
| 63 | 93.6 | 124.692307692308 | -31.0923076923077 |
| 64 | 91.5 | 124.683974358974 | -33.1839743589743 |
| 65 | 93.1 | 126.575641025641 | -33.475641025641 |
| 66 | 91.7 | 123.767307692308 | -32.0673076923077 |
| 67 | 94.3 | 121.200641025641 | -26.9006410256410 |
| 68 | 93.9 | 119.000641025641 | -25.100641025641 |
| 69 | 90.9 | 120.100641025641 | -29.200641025641 |
| 70 | 88.3 | 113.91993006993 | -25.6199300699300 |
| 71 | 91.3 | 126.170979020979 | -34.870979020979 |
| 72 | 91.7 | 127.552797202797 | -35.8527972027972 |
| 73 | 92.4 | 130.782692307692 | -38.3826923076923 |
| 74 | 92 | 132.641025641026 | -40.6410256410256 |
| 75 | 95.6 | 134.291025641026 | -38.6910256410256 |
| 76 | 95.8 | 134.282692307692 | -38.4826923076923 |
| 77 | 96.4 | 136.174358974359 | -39.774358974359 |
| 78 | 99 | 133.366025641026 | -34.3660256410257 |
| 79 | 107 | 130.799358974359 | -23.799358974359 |
| 80 | 109.7 | 128.599358974359 | -18.899358974359 |
| 81 | 116.2 | 129.699358974359 | -13.4993589743590 |
| 82 | 115.9 | 123.518648018648 | -7.61864801864801 |
| 83 | 113.8 | 124.273543123543 | -10.4735431235431 |
| 84 | 112.6 | 125.655361305361 | -13.0553613053613 |
| 85 | 113.7 | 128.885256410256 | -15.1852564102564 |
| 86 | 115.9 | 130.743589743590 | -14.8435897435897 |
| 87 | 110.3 | 132.393589743590 | -22.0935897435897 |
| 88 | 111.3 | 132.385256410256 | -21.0852564102564 |
| 89 | 113.4 | 134.276923076923 | -20.8769230769231 |
| 90 | 108.2 | 131.468589743590 | -23.2685897435897 |
| 91 | 104.8 | 128.901923076923 | -24.1019230769231 |
| 92 | 106 | 126.701923076923 | -20.7019230769231 |
| 93 | 110.9 | 127.801923076923 | -16.9019230769231 |
| 94 | 115 | 121.621212121212 | -6.62121212121212 |
| 95 | 118.4 | 122.376107226107 | -3.97610722610722 |
| 96 | 121.4 | 123.757925407925 | -2.35792540792540 |
| 97 | 128.8 | 126.987820512821 | 1.81217948717946 |
| 98 | 131.7 | 128.846153846154 | 2.85384615384614 |
| 99 | 141.7 | 130.496153846154 | 11.2038461538461 |
| 100 | 142.9 | 130.487820512821 | 12.4121794871795 |
| 101 | 139.4 | 132.379487179487 | 7.02051282051282 |
| 102 | 134.7 | 129.571153846154 | 5.12884615384614 |
| 103 | 125 | 127.004487179487 | -2.00448717948718 |
| 104 | 113.6 | 124.804487179487 | -11.2044871794872 |
| 105 | 111.5 | 125.904487179487 | -14.4044871794872 |
| 106 | 108.5 | 119.723776223776 | -11.2237762237762 |
| 107 | 112.3 | 120.478671328671 | -8.17867132867133 |
| 108 | 116.6 | 121.860489510490 | -5.26048951048951 |
| 109 | 115.5 | 125.090384615385 | -9.59038461538465 |
| 110 | 120.1 | 126.948717948718 | -6.84871794871795 |
| 111 | 132.9 | 128.598717948718 | 4.30128205128206 |
| 112 | 128.1 | 128.590384615385 | -0.490384615384618 |
| 113 | 129.3 | 130.482051282051 | -1.18205128205127 |
| 114 | 132.5 | 127.673717948718 | 4.82628205128205 |
| 115 | 131 | 125.107051282051 | 5.89294871794872 |
| 116 | 124.9 | 122.907051282051 | 1.99294871794872 |
| 117 | 120.8 | 124.007051282051 | -3.20705128205128 |
| 118 | 122 | 117.826340326340 | 4.17365967365968 |
| 119 | 122.1 | 118.581235431235 | 3.51876456876457 |
| 120 | 127.4 | 119.963053613054 | 7.4369463869464 |
| 121 | 135.2 | 123.192948717949 | 12.0070512820513 |
| 122 | 137.3 | 125.051282051282 | 12.2487179487180 |
| 123 | 135 | 126.701282051282 | 8.29871794871796 |
| 124 | 136 | 126.692948717949 | 9.3070512820513 |
| 125 | 138.4 | 128.584615384615 | 9.81538461538462 |
| 126 | 134.7 | 125.776282051282 | 8.92371794871794 |
| 127 | 138.4 | 123.209615384615 | 15.1903846153846 |
| 128 | 133.9 | 121.009615384615 | 12.8903846153846 |
| 129 | 133.6 | 122.109615384615 | 11.4903846153846 |
| 130 | 141.2 | 115.928904428904 | 25.2710955710956 |
| 131 | 151.8 | 116.683799533800 | 35.1162004662005 |
| 132 | 155.4 | 118.065617715618 | 37.3343822843823 |
| 133 | 156.6 | 121.295512820513 | 35.3044871794872 |
| 134 | 161.6 | 123.153846153846 | 38.4461538461539 |
| 135 | 160.7 | 124.803846153846 | 35.8961538461538 |
| 136 | 156 | 124.795512820513 | 31.2044871794872 |
| 137 | 159.5 | 126.687179487179 | 32.8128205128205 |
| 138 | 168.7 | 123.878846153846 | 44.8211538461538 |
| 139 | 169.9 | 121.312179487179 | 48.5878205128205 |
| 140 | 169.9 | 119.112179487179 | 50.7878205128205 |
| 141 | 185.9 | 120.212179487179 | 65.6878205128205 |
