Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast
time	Y[t]	F[t]	95% LB	95% UB	p-value (H0: Y[t] = F[t])	P(F[t]>Y[t-1])	P(F[t]>Y[t-s])	P(F[t]>Y[68])
56	110.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
57	100.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
58	103.8	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
59	117	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
60	108.4	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
61	95.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
62	96.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
63	103.9	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
64	101.1	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
65	100.6	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
66	104.3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
67	98	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
68	99.5	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
69	97.4	103.1538	96.2766	111.2769	0.0825	0.811	0.715	0.811
70	105.6	103.3694	96.4115	111.602	0.2977	0.9224	0.4592	0.8215
71	117.5	106.2584	98.7463	115.2295	0.007	0.5572	0.0095	0.9301
72	107.4	107.5665	98.4558	118.882	0.4885	0.0427	0.4426	0.9188
73	97.8	95.5929	88.4697	104.19	0.3074	0.0036	0.5085	0.1865
74	91.5	94.3682	87.3032	102.9031	0.2551	0.2153	0.2805	0.1193
75	107.7	106.9284	97.0369	119.4943	0.4521	0.9919	0.6817	0.8767
76	100.1	96.0877	88.1431	105.8985	0.2114	0.0102	0.1583	0.2477
77	96.6	96.5488	88.3714	106.7053	0.4961	0.2466	0.2172	0.2845
78	106.8	104.7221	94.6417	117.6701	0.3766	0.8906	0.5255	0.7854
79	98	94.8343	86.6003	105.1237	0.2732	0.0113	0.2732	0.1871
80	98.6	92.3862	84.4853	102.2224	0.1078	0.1316	0.0782	0.0782

Univariate ARIMA Extrapolation Forecast Performance
time	% S.E.	PE	MAPE	Sq.E	MSE	RMSE
69	0.0402	-0.0558	0.0046	33.1064	2.7589	1.661
70	0.0406	0.0216	0.0018	4.9757	0.4146	0.6439
71	0.0431	0.1058	0.0088	126.373	10.5311	3.2452
72	0.0537	-0.0015	1e-04	0.0277	0.0023	0.0481
73	0.0459	0.0231	0.0019	4.8711	0.4059	0.6371
74	0.0461	-0.0304	0.0025	8.2264	0.6855	0.828
75	0.06	0.0072	6e-04	0.5954	0.0496	0.2228
76	0.0521	0.0418	0.0035	16.0985	1.3415	1.1582
77	0.0537	5e-04	0	0.0026	2e-04	0.0148
78	0.0631	0.0198	0.0017	4.3178	0.3598	0.5998
79	0.0554	0.0334	0.0028	10.0215	0.8351	0.9138
80	0.0543	0.0673	0.0056	38.6113	3.2176	1.7938