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*Unverified author*
R Software Module: /rwasp_multipleregression.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Multiple Regression
Date of computation: Tue, 21 Dec 2010 13:53:35 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo.htm/, Retrieved Tue, 21 Dec 2010 14:52:04 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
3.66356 7.74414 -4.4 4.2 0 18 19 116 3.04452 8.03398 -5.7 4.8 -0.3 69.1 9 506 3.71357 4.70048 -13.5 4.3 0.2 80 3 95 2.94444 7.5251 1.4 3 0.1 177 22 161 4.06044 7.7626 4.1 5.6 1.1 287 7 80 3.68888 7.88683 5.8 2.3 -0.1 200 9 33 3.3322 7.81521 2.7 1.9 0.4 228 7 129 3.3673 7.77779 7.1 8.9 0.2 220 15 155 2.07944 6.89163 4.1 2 0.1 183 9 132 1.94591 7.6774 1.1 5.2 0.1 43.1 10 480 3.3322 5.71373 -9 3.4 0 80 6 98 3.21888 8.33471 1.6 4.4 -0.3 78.1 16 558 1.09861 4.65396 -0.4 5.7 0.8 267 3 121 5.3845 7.38895 -4.8 6 0 81 20 122 3.93183 7.81763 -0.9 1.4 -0.3 236 15 51 3.3673 4.96981 -0.5 0.6 1.7 341.1 4 552 2.83321 7.80384 -1 1.8 0 16 7 150 3.04452 7.62168 -2.3 5.2 -0.1 66.1 12 428 2.99573 5.21494 5.8 2.6 -0.2 68.8 3 582 4.21951 7.64204 5.1 2.2 1.1 199 18 538 3.04452 7.77149 10.8 2.4 -1.5 329.8 13 579 3.7612 8.31385 12.2 4 -2.8 230.4 17 572 3.58352 7.63964 -2.8 2.1 -1.6 210.2 11 512 2.48491 7.05531 11.2 3.3 2.3 302.8 23 604 2.48491 7.38275 13.6 0.6 -0.8 159.8 11 602 3.3322 7.56786 -12.3 3.7 -0.2 7 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time39 seconds
R Server'Sir Ronald Aylmer Fisher' @ 193.190.124.24
R Framework
error message
The field 'Names of X columns' contains a hard return which cannot be interpreted.
Please, resubmit your request without hard returns in the 'Names of X columns'.


Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation
PM10[t] = + 1.23054751597176 + 0.32678291036685Cars[t] -0.00212248873738100Temp[t] -0.103338779289504Windspeed[t] + 0.0110718232100302Tempdiff[t] -4.56448970049517e-05Winddir[t] + 0.000317930999549815hour[t] + 0.000266198137725166`day `[t] + e[t]


Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares
VariableParameterS.D.T-STAT
H0: parameter = 0
2-tail p-value1-tail p-value
(Intercept)1.230547515971760.2965064.15023.9e-052e-05
Cars0.326782910366850.0435617.501800
Temp-0.002122488737381000.006667-0.31840.7503440.375172
Windspeed-0.1033387792895040.02079-4.97061e-060
Tempdiff0.01107182321003020.0423630.26140.7939270.396963
Winddir-4.56448970049517e-050.000456-0.10010.9203380.460169
hour0.0003179309995498150.006460.04920.960770.480385
`day `0.0002661981377251660.0001851.4410.1502270.075113


Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics
Multiple R0.420078639159281
R-squared0.176466063077913
Adjusted R-squared0.164749116820892
F-TEST (value)15.060755525115
F-TEST (DF numerator)7
F-TEST (DF denominator)492
p-value0
Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics
Residual Standard Deviation0.81047251485717
Sum Squared Residuals323.177923090742


Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals
Time or IndexActualsInterpolation
Forecast
Residuals
Prediction Error
13.663563.372614265710130.290945734289873
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131.098612.19303410177854-1.09442410177854
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2855.056253.570956848544711.48529315145529
2864.934473.617475953345791.31699404665421
2872.564953.38626058525621-0.82131058525621
2883.044523.73532513036665-0.690805130366649
2891.386292.34345979015862-0.957169790158617
2902.772592.735079968290790.0375100317092106
2913.912022.874826717224741.03719328277526
2924.356713.806065888362210.550644111637788
2933.40123.73265323056083-0.331453230560835
2944.025353.363721118846890.661628881153114
2953.737673.420307947031060.317362052968945
2962.944443.54024220252199-0.595802202521985
2974.094343.020091809549231.07424819045077
2983.044522.878958808670360.165561191329637
2993.178053.47056757466464-0.292517574664637
3002.564953.33886314847782-0.773913148477817
3012.639062.91960574434736-0.280545744347357
3023.091043.59005653632993-0.499016536329931
3033.40123.48990350143054-0.0887035014305428
3042.197222.48811916981161-0.290899169811611
3053.76122.841818285351380.91938171464862
3062.772593.16853835514919-0.395948355149190
3073.40122.631846257371370.76935374262863
3083.610923.046920729808050.56399927019195
3093.36733.113859887182040.253440112817957
3100.693152.46085594320395-1.76770594320395
3112.944442.778869673122290.165570326877707
3124.174393.637558947777990.53683105222201
3132.833213.45616061173866-0.622950611738659
3143.044522.99216929972790.0523507002720995
3153.25813.46928795598689-0.211187955986893
3163.218883.050007975543920.168872024456084
3174.234113.619912190312130.614197809687874
3184.812183.465682722541451.34649727745855
3194.394453.316925359014671.07752464098533
3202.639062.91583643434338-0.276776434343378
3213.25813.53811395851495-0.280013958514945
3221.945912.98473263302033-1.03882263302033
3232.944443.19136326112840-0.246923261128403
3242.564953.18809779470572-0.623147794705718
3253.218882.890566262934820.32831373706518
3262.772593.33560476844357-0.563014768443572
3274.615123.425125483157911.18999451684209
3281.609442.62824745753836-1.01880745753836
3292.079442.67828919544767-0.598849195447675
3303.87123.065311164015290.805888835984706
3313.178053.61782136671866-0.439771366718657
3323.583523.378625361516260.204894638483739
3334.682133.538591702038751.14353829796125
3342.564953.30455238670421-0.739602386704215
3352.302592.89932758781601-0.596737587816005
3363.555353.61577129342301-0.0604212934230136
3373.465743.327838580773530.137901419226468
3382.484913.53050067640921-1.04559067640921
3394.219512.843935687421391.37557431257861
3402.302593.06793830809078-0.765348308090777
3412.708053.27916028290452-0.571110282904518
3422.995733.61195291750201-0.616222917502008
3432.484912.91509351899604-0.430183518996036
3443.135493.76566156879092-0.630171568790923
3454.158883.518093790618860.640786209381135
3461.791763.08842838214483-1.29666838214483
3473.295843.57106790341297-0.275227903412971
3482.833212.97933052148152-0.146120521481521
3493.526362.585095674967930.941264325032071
3503.25812.473941072433830.78415892756617
3513.988983.006766634830830.98221336516917
3521.609443.20175919424339-1.59231919424339
3533.496513.56940508389629-0.07289508389629
3543.178053.2738144414727-0.0957644414727009
3554.672833.480565091307431.19226490869257
3563.433993.17379093033860.260199069661398
3572.079443.42534767321138-1.34590767321138
3583.295843.73126562718545-0.435425627185452
3592.302593.02360410325715-0.72101410325715
3602.079442.67056556703633-0.591125567036331
3610.693152.37032725207314-1.67717725207314
3623.135493.31903324599046-0.183543245990462
3633.828643.563500625851050.265139374148952
3643.87123.751867135299610.119332864700386
3652.995732.45068873171980.545041268280201
3663.25813.64341278411419-0.385312784114188
3673.33223.43219574328557-0.0999957432855654
3683.496513.447772949992030.0487370500079716
3691.945913.17214609507099-1.22623609507099
3704.574713.669358339585230.905351660414767
3713.912023.397495275891320.51452472410868
3723.806663.278948435893440.527711564106561
3733.931832.528845497826511.40298450217349
3742.484912.59643316267624-0.111523162676243
3753.135493.28696095151434-0.151470951514336
3762.944443.41564011210053-0.471200112100534
3773.40123.63496278204376-0.233762782043763
3781.945912.69462238074212-0.748712380742118
3793.178052.838034699469140.340015300530859
3803.218883.152826399088790.0660536009112145
3812.639063.11955718077200-0.480497180771996
3823.33223.40883946342121-0.0766394634212073
3832.708052.472782928170150.235267071829852
3843.784193.456542449663060.327647550336942
3853.784193.615152873433020.169037126566983
3861.609443.54654470375942-1.93710470375942
3873.36733.4791420663459-0.111842066345897
3883.044522.777131166830050.267388833169953
3894.454353.476221356281510.978128643718488
3901.945912.94849255233157-1.00258255233157
3912.639062.617999748938900.0210602510610969
3923.33223.49141205082772-0.159212050827723
3933.433992.776892727143440.65709727285656
3943.891823.208376363342110.683443636657885
3952.197223.54307248651152-1.34585248651152
3964.595123.351228601120761.24389139887924
3973.496512.991341800212680.505168199787321
3982.833213.37172585727866-0.538515857278663
3992.197223.15251209784754-0.955292097847535
4002.890372.94266467639002-0.0522946763900218
4013.40123.49608684920465-0.0948868492046484
4022.995733.12206817900645-0.126338179006452
4033.737673.511824602957780.225845397042217
4042.944442.831147792723580.113292207276419
4053.583523.64862755672633-0.0651075567263265
4063.295843.48668499612859-0.190844996128589
4074.87523.490466909072611.38473309092739
4084.330733.574793525327510.755936474672493
4093.295843.38887690466521-0.0930369046652127
4103.784193.577974735755130.206215264244874
4113.610922.494237646208031.11668235379197
4122.833213.15160703205219-0.318397032052192
4133.76123.072286848139630.688913151860374
4143.583522.878213873592920.70530612640708
4153.178052.795373751328310.382676248671688
4163.526362.861170257189820.66518974281018
4174.219513.528100288486230.69140971151377
4183.931833.547169904171140.384660095828861
4192.302592.84336056223226-0.540770562232265
4203.25812.720793215474990.537306784525005
4212.708053.30112752473515-0.593077524735149
4223.555352.799979174622190.75537082537781
4231.945912.93313267202192-0.987222672021918
4244.369452.822396635149641.54705336485036
4254.700483.113709275260011.58677072473999
4262.484912.81552250156380-0.330612501563804
4271.609443.15775357841319-1.54831357841319
4283.784193.747047910841650.0371420891583493
4291.945912.55061452509379-0.60470452509379
4303.091043.7084938789866-0.617453878986601
4313.218883.32984884315862-0.110968843158616
4322.484913.39322551571586-0.90831551571586
4332.197222.96938244534641-0.77216244534641
4344.934473.539378912822131.39509108717787
4354.043053.533921287381620.509128712618379
4364.510863.719091378923650.791768621076354
4371.945912.19447016692617-0.248560166926170
4383.091043.88573643322791-0.794696433227908
4394.605173.548522591774201.05664740822580
4403.637593.144753025870450.492836974129546
4413.465743.423902294301930.041837705698065
4423.87123.91048373197228-0.0392837319722808
4435.153293.667178303231861.48611169676814
4443.044523.39705155237952-0.352531552379522
4453.496513.65021537334007-0.153705373340071
4462.564952.56352989630740.00142010369260253
4473.850153.454046683880030.396103316119968
4482.484912.73835408192363-0.253444081923633
4492.079443.29977088289596-1.22033088289596
4502.995733.71433728451629-0.718607284516291
4511.386293.08948811659787-1.70319811659787
4523.178053.56443769859199-0.386387698591988
4532.197222.65871731878204-0.461497318782044
4543.555353.59370944540704-0.0383594454070413
4553.87123.750879409267090.120320590732908
4563.40123.48384246311578-0.0826424631157822
4573.044523.44368293686847-0.399162936868474
4584.343813.345194474248150.998615525751849
4592.39793.06154402687230-0.663644026872297
4602.639063.53103595518752-0.891975955187524
4612.564952.73979857701213-0.174848577012134
4623.33222.695412423229910.636787576770086
4632.564953.53920119566180-0.974251195661796
4643.688883.224059594134980.46482040586502
4652.39793.56369759058502-1.16579759058502
4662.39792.81956257297870-0.421662572978696
4674.682133.811550655437550.870579344562446
4683.044523.51189661651613-0.467376616516134
4693.044523.41196351434744-0.36744351434744
4702.197222.42592485820441-0.228704858204410
4713.178053.55127830022768-0.373228300227675
4724.488643.700274260801820.788365739198184
4732.302593.53318113150615-1.23059113150615
4743.295843.85740656023556-0.561566560235555
4753.178053.43283474834439-0.254784748344390
4764.060442.925098970260891.13534102973911
4774.158883.128858842487241.03002115751276
4783.091042.822862039446940.268177960553062
4794.418843.865387910537390.553452089462615
4802.890373.29214562722978-0.401775627229782
4811.098612.37901076491087-1.28040076491087
4823.433993.358440702964210.0755492970357948
4833.526363.62522987423169-0.0988698742316937
4843.135493.31501002438850-0.179520024388505
4852.197223.44595453258393-1.24873453258393
4863.135493.62415604710286-0.48866604710286
4872.079442.86074691608603-0.78130691608603
4883.637592.725843045728360.911746954271641
4893.737673.089085075952470.648584924047529
4902.484912.89805608950403-0.413146089504025
4911.945912.73578439580118-0.789874395801181
4921.945913.05520170354835-1.10929170354835
4932.772592.584430712104130.188159287895875
4942.708053.33699030109203-0.628940301092035
4951.791762.56218100739247-0.770421007392468
4962.302592.90502961310921-0.602439613109213
4974.110873.719006541932570.391863458067428
4983.40123.205432161010290.195767838989705
4993.688883.299173394520860.389706605479139
5004.174393.864285631323680.310104368676324


Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
p-valuesAlternative Hypothesis
breakpoint indexgreater2-sidedless
110.05268692683784380.1053738536756880.947313073162156
120.2661147611455010.5322295222910020.7338852388545
130.2711995900310950.542399180062190.728800409968905
140.3654810511509010.7309621023018010.634518948849099
150.2984636076266660.5969272152533330.701536392373334
160.6210054853052110.7579890293895780.378994514694789
170.5243708870825780.9512582258348450.475629112917422
180.428243985180270.856487970360540.57175601481973
190.8496077053960880.3007845892078250.150392294603912
200.8198635774181340.3602728451637320.180136422581866
210.7720322251132290.4559355497735430.227967774886771
220.7492478028558080.5015043942883850.250752197144192
230.6873861183963920.6252277632072150.312613881603608
240.6842778721873490.6314442556253020.315722127812651
250.6251454766258480.7497090467483040.374854523374152
260.5869601779589990.8260796440820010.413039822041001
270.5213794788540060.9572410422919890.478620521145994
280.6327099710653170.7345800578693670.367290028934683
290.6042686682451250.791462663509750.395731331754875
300.5506947704745930.8986104590508130.449305229525407
310.5130372594738150.973925481052370.486962740526185
320.4687760907283130.9375521814566270.531223909271687
330.4112769905462750.822553981092550.588723009453725
340.5734900916753730.8530198166492530.426509908324627
350.5390925699186080.9218148601627830.460907430081392
360.5401344027297450.9197311945405110.459865597270255
370.5343462682363690.9313074635272620.465653731763631
380.4886306943526540.9772613887053080.511369305647346
390.5638253859932680.8723492280134640.436174614006732
400.517630388895170.964739222209660.48236961110483
410.5028403806618780.9943192386762430.497159619338122
420.6706576960053230.6586846079893540.329342303994677
430.6704534402801980.6590931194396030.329546559719802
440.6269328070717010.7461343858565990.373067192928299
450.5953794016499760.8092411967000480.404620598350024
460.5922976850975040.8154046298049920.407702314902496
470.6018045834925890.7963908330148210.398195416507411
480.5882734879228750.8234530241542490.411726512077125
490.5529828466654240.8940343066691510.447017153334576
500.5173176440838450.965364711832310.482682355916155
510.5107576285567820.9784847428864360.489242371443218
520.4658980973232180.9317961946464370.534101902676782
530.4455301519474160.8910603038948330.554469848052584
540.4041158535744830.8082317071489660.595884146425517
550.3797078999712980.7594157999425970.620292100028702
560.3391337156258180.6782674312516350.660866284374182
570.3031736979998780.6063473959997560.696826302000122
580.2728106896001950.5456213792003910.727189310399805
590.250048556098580.500097112197160.74995144390142
600.2420198700841580.4840397401683160.757980129915842
610.2164284616445980.4328569232891960.783571538355402
620.1967415300846530.3934830601693050.803258469915347
630.1701906194008630.3403812388017260.829809380599137
640.1524239616762840.3048479233525680.847576038323716
650.2251273575318150.4502547150636310.774872642468185
660.2930174143999950.586034828799990.706982585600005
670.3014140904468290.6028281808936590.69858590955317
680.2680071704821810.5360143409643620.731992829517819
690.2405227948475830.4810455896951660.759477205152417
700.2185163052333410.4370326104666810.78148369476666
710.1907479789601250.3814959579202490.809252021039875
720.1652752152015690.3305504304031390.83472478479843
730.1432183558838190.2864367117676380.85678164411618
740.1240427599213310.2480855198426620.87595724007867
750.1068103715859220.2136207431718430.893189628414078
760.1754822193532440.3509644387064880.824517780646756
770.185249751681070.370499503362140.81475024831893
780.1776451042125700.3552902084251400.82235489578743
790.1662999418184320.3325998836368640.833700058181568
800.2056476237647740.4112952475295470.794352376235226
810.1944943656379860.3889887312759720.805505634362014
820.2653667580568590.5307335161137180.734633241943141
830.2518369680093350.5036739360186710.748163031990665
840.2477173788827880.4954347577655750.752282621117212
850.2206132781162190.4412265562324370.779386721883781
860.1958531571161380.3917063142322770.804146842883862
870.1956840250841550.3913680501683110.804315974915845
880.1833803042615430.3667606085230860.816619695738457
890.1620419688418370.3240839376836740.837958031158163
900.142977578480470.285955156960940.85702242151953
910.1282387483330500.2564774966661000.87176125166695
920.1146831238586050.2293662477172090.885316876141395
930.1031212736547840.2062425473095680.896878726345216
940.09476989360373210.1895397872074640.905230106396268
950.08380641602661880.1676128320532380.916193583973381
960.2112725891104510.4225451782209020.78872741088955
970.1883672949659000.3767345899318010.8116327050341
980.2319787454463630.4639574908927250.768021254553637
990.3547433588212760.7094867176425510.645256641178724
1000.3244253110641470.6488506221282950.675574688935853
1010.3156534067952820.6313068135905630.684346593204718
1020.2927344280958190.5854688561916370.707265571904181
1030.2827016519303150.5654033038606290.717298348069685
1040.2629858435811070.5259716871622150.737014156418893
1050.2871660181635950.574332036327190.712833981836405
1060.2940857741345860.5881715482691710.705914225865414
1070.2690880782885670.5381761565771330.730911921711433
1080.245578370086120.491156740172240.75442162991388
1090.2210081643836380.4420163287672750.778991835616362
1100.2604985446310040.5209970892620090.739501455368996
1110.2882086571220860.5764173142441720.711791342877914
1120.3799734106917770.7599468213835550.620026589308223
1130.3631695500998990.7263391001997990.6368304499001
1140.389413024681680.778826049363360.61058697531832
1150.3704848515714580.7409697031429160.629515148428542
1160.3490770984056530.6981541968113060.650922901594347
1170.320870653196050.64174130639210.67912934680395
1180.296257508820370.592515017640740.70374249117963
1190.3684050634247190.7368101268494380.631594936575281
1200.3682876491765080.7365752983530160.631712350823492
1210.340062027769920.680124055539840.65993797223008
1220.3165390783655790.6330781567311570.683460921634421
1230.3168453652484380.6336907304968760.683154634751562
1240.3074016925742590.6148033851485170.692598307425741
1250.286056735050390.572113470100780.71394326494961
1260.2620063383342130.5240126766684260.737993661665787
1270.238102675966940.476205351933880.76189732403306
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4240.8977769864742840.2044460270514310.102223013525716
4250.9552019205926350.08959615881472920.0447980794073646
4260.945526889207380.1089462215852400.0544731107926201
4270.9544800684967860.0910398630064290.0455199315032145
4280.9466430909383380.1067138181233230.0533569090616616
4290.9368027053447780.1263945893104440.0631972946552218
4300.9304796825162980.1390406349674040.069520317483702
4310.9163763607447880.1672472785104250.0836236392552124
4320.9130515246189060.1738969507621880.0869484753810938
4330.9071677372356130.1856645255287730.0928322627643866
4340.965489138569340.06902172286131980.0345108614306599
4350.9606719291652940.07865614166941160.0393280708347058
4360.962473007150050.07505398569990070.0375269928499503
4370.9535426838876310.09291463222473730.0464573161123686
4380.9479286321753980.1041427356492040.052071367824602
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4400.9796773171130130.04064536577397380.0203226828869869
4410.9762449407376220.04751011852475570.0237550592623779
4420.9698535991714950.06029280165701030.0301464008285051
4430.9856732359940350.02865352801193060.0143267640059653
4440.9813591009578930.03728179808421450.0186408990421072
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4550.9607472852967110.07850542940657720.0392527147032886
4560.9483418630226590.1033162739546830.0516581369773413
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4890.8682954714729840.2634090570540320.131704528527016


Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity
Description# significant tests% significant testsOK/NOK
1% type I error level80.0167014613778706NOK
5% type I error level1100.229645093945720NOK
10% type I error level1810.377870563674321NOK
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/10bm3r1292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/10bm3r1292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/1fcn01292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/1fcn01292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/2fcn01292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/2fcn01292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/3fcn01292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/3fcn01292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/4fcn01292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/4fcn01292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/584431292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/584431292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/684431292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/684431292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/7jvlo1292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/7jvlo1292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/8bm3r1292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/8bm3r1292939567.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/9bm3r1292939567.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/21/t1292939524dit98g087trgbwo/9bm3r1292939567.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 1 ; par2 = Do not include Seasonal Dummies ; par3 = No Linear Trend ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(lattice)
library(lmtest)
n25 <- 25 #minimum number of obs. for Goldfeld-Quandt test
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
x <- t(y)
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
x1 <- cbind(x[,par1], x[,1:k!=par1])
mycolnames <- c(colnames(x)[par1], colnames(x)[1:k!=par1])
colnames(x1) <- mycolnames #colnames(x)[par1]
x <- x1
if (par3 == 'First Differences'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n-1,k), dimnames=list(1:(n-1), paste('(1-B)',colnames(x),sep='')))
for (i in 1:n-1) {
for (j in 1:k) {
x2[i,j] <- x[i+1,j] - x[i,j]
}
}
x <- x2
}
if (par2 == 'Include Monthly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,11), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('M', seq(1:11), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:11){
x2[seq(i,n,12),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
if (par2 == 'Include Quarterly Dummies'){
x2 <- array(0, dim=c(n,3), dimnames=list(1:n, paste('Q', seq(1:3), sep ='')))
for (i in 1:3){
x2[seq(i,n,4),i] <- 1
}
x <- cbind(x, x2)
}
k <- length(x[1,])
if (par3 == 'Linear Trend'){
x <- cbind(x, c(1:n))
colnames(x)[k+1] <- 't'
}
x
k <- length(x[1,])
df <- as.data.frame(x)
(mylm <- lm(df))
(mysum <- summary(mylm))
if (n > n25) {
kp3 <- k + 3
nmkm3 <- n - k - 3
gqarr <- array(NA, dim=c(nmkm3-kp3+1,3))
numgqtests <- 0
numsignificant1 <- 0
numsignificant5 <- 0
numsignificant10 <- 0
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
j <- 0
numgqtests <- numgqtests + 1
for (myalt in c('greater', 'two.sided', 'less')) {
j <- j + 1
gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,j] <- gqtest(mylm, point=mypoint, alternative=myalt)$p.value
}
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.01) numsignificant1 <- numsignificant1 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.05) numsignificant5 <- numsignificant5 + 1
if (gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2] < 0.10) numsignificant10 <- numsignificant10 + 1
}
gqarr
}
bitmap(file='test0.png')
plot(x[,1], type='l', main='Actuals and Interpolation', ylab='value of Actuals and Interpolation (dots)', xlab='time or index')
points(x[,1]-mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(mysum$resid, type='b', pch=19, main='Residuals', ylab='value of Residuals', xlab='time or index')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test2.png')
hist(mysum$resid, main='Residual Histogram', xlab='values of Residuals')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
densityplot(~mysum$resid,col='black',main='Residual Density Plot', xlab='values of Residuals')
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
qqnorm(mysum$resid, main='Residual Normal Q-Q Plot')
qqline(mysum$resid)
grid()
dev.off()
(myerror <- as.ts(mysum$resid))
bitmap(file='test5.png')
dum <- cbind(lag(myerror,k=1),myerror)
dum
dum1 <- dum[2:length(myerror),]
dum1
z <- as.data.frame(dum1)
z
plot(z,main=paste('Residual Lag plot, lowess, and regression line'), ylab='values of Residuals', xlab='lagged values of Residuals')
lines(lowess(z))
abline(lm(z))
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test6.png')
acf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test7.png')
pacf(mysum$resid, lag.max=length(mysum$resid)/2, main='Residual Partial Autocorrelation Function')
grid()
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test8.png')
opar <- par(mfrow = c(2,2), oma = c(0, 0, 1.1, 0))
plot(mylm, las = 1, sub='Residual Diagnostics')
par(opar)
dev.off()
if (n > n25) {
bitmap(file='test9.png')
plot(kp3:nmkm3,gqarr[,2], main='Goldfeld-Quandt test',ylab='2-sided p-value',xlab='breakpoint')
grid()
dev.off()
}
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Estimated Regression Equation', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
myeq <- colnames(x)[1]
myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t] = ', sep='')
for (i in 1:k){
if (mysum$coefficients[i,1] > 0) myeq <- paste(myeq, '+', '')
myeq <- paste(myeq, mysum$coefficients[i,1], sep=' ')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != '(Intercept)') {
myeq <- paste(myeq, rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i], sep='')
if (rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i] != 't') myeq <- paste(myeq, '[t]', sep='')
}
}
myeq <- paste(myeq, ' + e[t]')
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, myeq)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,hyperlink('http://www.xycoon.com/ols1.htm','Multiple Linear Regression - Ordinary Least Squares',''), 6, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Variable',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Parameter',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'S.D.',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'T-STAT<br />H0: parameter = 0',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'1-tail p-value',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:k){
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,rownames(mysum$coefficients)[i],header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,mysum$coefficients[i,1])
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,2],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,3],4))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4],6))
a<-table.element(a, round(mysum$coefficients[i,4]/2,6))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Regression Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple R',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sqrt(mysum$r.squared))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Adjusted R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$adj.r.squared)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (value)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[1])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF numerator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[2])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'F-TEST (DF denominator)',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$fstatistic[3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'p-value',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 1-pf(mysum$fstatistic[1],mysum$fstatistic[2],mysum$fstatistic[3]))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Residual Statistics', 2, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residual Standard Deviation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, mysum$sigma)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Sum Squared Residuals',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, sum(myerror*myerror))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Multiple Linear Regression - Actuals, Interpolation, and Residuals', 4, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a, 'Time or Index', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Actuals', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Interpolation<br />Forecast', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a, 'Residuals<br />Prediction Error', 1, TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:n) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i, 1, TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,x[i]-mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.element(a,mysum$resid[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable4.tab')
if (n > n25) {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'p-values',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Alternative Hypothesis',3,header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'breakpoint index',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'greater',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'2-sided',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'less',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (mypoint in kp3:nmkm3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,mypoint,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,1])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,2])
a<-table.element(a,gqarr[mypoint-kp3+1,3])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable5.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Meta Analysis of Goldfeld-Quandt test for Heteroskedasticity',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Description',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'# significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'% significant tests',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'OK/NOK',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'1% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant1/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant1/numgqtests < 0.01) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'5% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant5/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant5/numgqtests < 0.05) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10% type I error level',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10)
a<-table.element(a,numsignificant10/numgqtests)
if (numsignificant10/numgqtests < 0.1) dum <- 'OK' else dum <- 'NOK'
a<-table.element(a,dum)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable6.tab')
}
 





Copyright

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Software written by Ed van Stee & Patrick Wessa


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