Home » date » 2010 » Dec » 13 »

Recursive Partitioning Bezorgdheid over fouten (no categorization)

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Mon, 13 Dec 2010 18:25:13 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 13 Dec 2010 19:24:24 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
0 13 26 9 6 25 25 0 16 20 9 6 25 24 0 19 21 9 13 19 21 1 15 31 14 8 18 23 0 14 21 8 7 18 17 0 13 18 8 9 22 19 0 19 26 11 5 29 18 0 15 22 10 8 26 27 0 14 22 9 9 25 23 0 15 29 15 11 23 23 1 16 15 14 8 23 29 0 16 16 11 11 23 21 1 16 24 14 12 24 26 0 17 17 6 8 30 25 1 15 19 20 7 19 25 1 15 22 9 9 24 23 0 20 31 10 12 32 26 1 18 28 8 20 30 20 0 16 38 11 7 29 29 1 16 26 14 8 17 24 0 19 25 11 8 25 23 0 16 25 16 16 26 24 1 17 29 14 10 26 30 0 17 28 11 6 25 22 1 16 15 11 8 23 22 0 15 18 12 9 21 13 1 14 21 9 9 19 24 0 15 25 7 11 35 17 1 12 23 13 12 19 24 0 14 23 10 8 20 21 0 16 19 9 7 21 23 1 14 18 9 8 21 24 1 7 18 13 9 24 24 1 10 26 16 4 23 24 1 14 18 12 8 19 23 0 16 18 6 8 17 26 1 16 28 14 8 24 24 1 16 17 14 6 15 21 0 14 29 10 8 25 23 1 20 12 4 4 27 28 1 14 25 12 7 29 23 0 14 28 12 14 27 22 0 11 20 14 10 18 24 0 15 17 9 9 25 21 0 16 17 9 6 22 23 1 14 20 10 8 26 23 0 16 31 14 11 23 20 1 14 21 10 8 16 23 1 12 19 9 8 27 21 0 16 23 14 10 25 27 1 9 15 8 8 14 12 0 14 24 9 1 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time4 seconds
R Server'RServer@AstonUniversity' @ vre.aston.ac.uk


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.6639
R-squared0.4408
RMSE4.249


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
12622.59259259259263.40740740740741
22022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
32120.06250.9375
43118.440677966101712.5593220338983
52118.44067796610172.5593220338983
61820.0625-2.0625
72628.3478260869565-2.34782608695652
82228.3478260869565-6.34782608695652
92222.5925925925926-0.592592592592592
102925.05555555555563.94444444444444
111518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
121620.0625-4.0625
132422.59259259259261.40740740740741
1417161
151918.44067796610170.559322033898304
162222.5925925925926-0.592592592592592
173128.34782608695652.65217391304348
182828.3478260869565-0.347826086956523
193828.34782608695659.65217391304348
202618.44067796610177.5593220338983
212522.59259259259262.40740740740741
222528.3478260869565-3.34782608695652
232928.34782608695650.652173913043477
242822.59259259259265.40740740740741
251518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
261825.0555555555556-7.05555555555556
272120.06250.9375
2825169
292325.0555555555556-2.05555555555556
302318.44067796610174.5593220338983
311918.44067796610170.559322033898304
321818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
331822.5925925925926-4.59259259259259
342618.44067796610177.5593220338983
351818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
361818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
372822.59259259259265.40740740740741
381718.4406779661017-1.4406779661017
392922.59259259259266.40740740740741
401216-4
412528.3478260869565-3.34782608695652
422828.3478260869565-0.347826086956523
432025.0555555555556-5.05555555555556
441722.5925925925926-5.59259259259259
451718.4406779661017-1.4406779661017
462028.3478260869565-8.34782608695652
473125.05555555555565.94444444444444
482118.44067796610172.5593220338983
491928.3478260869565-9.34782608695652
502322.59259259259260.407407407407408
511518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
522420.06253.9375
532818.44067796610179.5593220338983
541618.4406779661017-2.4406779661017
551918.44067796610170.559322033898304
562120.06250.9375
572118.44067796610172.5593220338983
582018.44067796610171.5593220338983
591618.4406779661017-2.4406779661017
602528.3478260869565-3.34782608695652
613025.05555555555564.94444444444444
622928.34782608695650.652173913043477
632218.44067796610173.5593220338983
641918.44067796610170.559322033898304
653328.34782608695654.65217391304348
661722.5925925925926-5.59259259259259
67918.4406779661017-9.4406779661017
681418.4406779661017-4.4406779661017
691518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
701218.4406779661017-6.4406779661017
712122.5925925925926-1.59259259259259
722022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
732925.05555555555563.94444444444444
743328.34782608695654.65217391304348
752122.5925925925926-1.59259259259259
761518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
771920.0625-1.0625
782320.06252.9375
792018.44067796610171.5593220338983
802022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
811820.0625-2.0625
823125.05555555555565.94444444444444
831818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
841318.4406779661017-5.4406779661017
85916-7
862022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
871818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
882322.59259259259260.407407407407408
891722.5925925925926-5.59259259259259
901718.4406779661017-1.4406779661017
911620.0625-4.0625
923118.440677966101712.5593220338983
931518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
942822.59259259259265.40740740740741
952628.3478260869565-2.34782608695652
962022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
971918.44067796610170.559322033898304
982525.0555555555556-0.0555555555555571
991818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
1002018.44067796610171.5593220338983
1013328.34782608695654.65217391304348
1022425.0555555555556-1.05555555555556
1032218.44067796610173.5593220338983
1043228.34782608695653.65217391304348
1053122.59259259259268.4074074074074
1061318.4406779661017-5.4406779661017
1071820.0625-2.0625
1081718.4406779661017-1.4406779661017
1092928.34782608695650.652173913043477
1102225.0555555555556-3.05555555555556
1111818.4406779661017-0.440677966101696
1122220.06251.9375
1132518.44067796610176.5593220338983
1142022.5925925925926-2.59259259259259
1152018.44067796610171.5593220338983
1161720.0625-3.0625
1172125.0555555555556-4.05555555555556
1182622.59259259259263.40740740740741
1191018.4406779661017-8.4406779661017
1201518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
12120164
1221418.4406779661017-4.4406779661017
1231618.4406779661017-2.4406779661017
1242318.44067796610174.5593220338983
1251118.4406779661017-7.4406779661017
1261918.44067796610170.559322033898304
1273028.34782608695651.65217391304348
1282118.44067796610172.5593220338983
1292018.44067796610171.5593220338983
1302222.5925925925926-0.592592592592592
1313025.05555555555564.94444444444444
1322525.0555555555556-0.0555555555555571
1332820.06257.9375
1342325.0555555555556-2.05555555555556
1352320.06252.9375
1362118.44067796610172.5593220338983
1373028.34782608695651.65217391304348
1382218.44067796610173.5593220338983
1393228.34782608695653.65217391304348
1402222.5925925925926-0.592592592592592
1411518.4406779661017-3.4406779661017
1422125.0555555555556-4.05555555555556
1432725.05555555555561.94444444444444
1442225.0555555555556-3.05555555555556
145916-7
1462928.34782608695650.652173913043477
14720164
1481618.4406779661017-2.4406779661017
1491618.4406779661017-2.4406779661017
1501620.0625-4.0625
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/2f4mz1292264706.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/2f4mz1292264706.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/38v4k1292264706.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/38v4k1292264706.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/4jnl51292264706.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t1292264663kusvkmqag0rctzf/4jnl51292264706.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 2 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 3 ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 3 ; par2 = none ; par3 = 2 ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





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