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WS10 Recursive Partitioning

*The author of this computation has been verified*
R Software Module: /rwasp_regression_trees1.wasp (opens new window with default values)
Title produced by software: Recursive Partitioning (Regression Trees)
Date of computation: Mon, 13 Dec 2010 09:33:29 +0000
 
Cite this page as follows:
Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, Office for Research Development and Education, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3.htm/, Retrieved Mon, 13 Dec 2010 10:33:03 +0100
 
BibTeX entries for LaTeX users:
@Manual{KEY,
    author = {{YOUR NAME}},
    publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
    title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3.htm/},
    year = {2010},
}
@Manual{R,
    title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
    author = {{R Development Core Team}},
    organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
    address = {Vienna, Austria},
    year = {2010},
    note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
    url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
 
Original text written by user:
 
IsPrivate?
No (this computation is public)
 
User-defined keywords:
 
Dataseries X:
» Textbox « » Textfile « » CSV «
5 2 1 3 11 16 14 6 12 1 1 1 11 13 11 4 11 1 1 3 15 16 11 5 6 1 1 3 11 6 9 4 12 1 2 3 9 11 11 4 11 1 1 3 14 13 16 6 12 1 1 1 12 15 13 6 7 2 4 3 6 9 11 4 8 1 1 3 4 6 4 4 13 1 1 1 13 11 15 6 12 1 1 1 12 9 13 4 13 1 1 3 10 4 13 6 12 1 1 1 12 8 13 5 12 1 3 3 9 11 11 4 11 2 1 3 16 16 15 6 12 2 1 1 13 5 12 3 12 1 1 1 12 6 14 5 12 1 6 1 11 7 13 6 11 2 1 3 12 16 13 4 13 2 1 1 12 12 12 6 9 1 1 3 11 7 13 2 11 2 1 3 16 13 14 7 11 1 1 1 9 12 13 5 11 2 1 3 8 10 15 2 9 1 1 1 11 12 12 4 11 2 1 4 9 8 10 4 12 2 1 3 16 15 14 6 12 1 1 3 14 15 13 6 10 2 1 3 10 10 11 5 12 1 4 3 14 13 15 6 12 2 1 1 16 16 14 6 12 1 1 3 12 10 13 4 9 2 1 3 13 14 14 6 9 1 1 3 16 16 16 6 12 1 1 3 15 13 13 6 14 2 1 1 5 4 5 2 12 2 1 3 12 7 11 4 11 1 1 1 11 15 10 5 9 1 1 2 15 5 11 3 11 2 1 3 15 14 15 7 7 1 1 1 12 11 15 5 15 1 1 1 5 8 12 3 11 1 1 3 16 14 15 8 12 1 1 3 16 12 15 8 12 2 2 1 12 12 14 5 9 2 1 3 6 15 11 6 12 2 1 3 7 8 12 3 11 2 1 3 14 16 12 5 11 2 2 3 8 9 12 4 8 1 4 3 12 13 13 5 7 2 1 1 10 8 9 5 etc...
 
Output produced by software:

Enter (or paste) a matrix (table) containing all data (time) series. Every column represents a different variable and must be delimited by a space or Tab. Every row represents a period in time (or category) and must be delimited by hard returns. The easiest way to enter data is to copy and paste a block of spreadsheet cells. Please, do not use commas or spaces to seperate groups of digits!


Summary of computational transaction
Raw Inputview raw input (R code)
Raw Outputview raw output of R engine
Computing time8 seconds
R Server'Gwilym Jenkins' @ 72.249.127.135


Goodness of Fit
Correlation0.6977
R-squared0.4867
RMSE0.9957


Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals
#ActualsForecastsResiduals
165.438596491228070.56140350877193
245.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
355.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
444.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
543.758620689655170.241379310344827
666.75-0.75
765.438596491228070.56140350877193
843.758620689655170.241379310344827
943.758620689655170.241379310344827
1065.555555555555560.444444444444445
1144.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
1264.444444444444441.55555555555556
1354.444444444444440.555555555555555
1443.758620689655170.241379310344827
1566.75-0.75
1634.44444444444444-1.44444444444444
1754.444444444444440.555555555555555
1864.444444444444441.55555555555556
1945.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
2065.438596491228070.56140350877193
2124.44444444444444-2.44444444444444
2275.438596491228071.56140350877193
2353.758620689655171.24137931034483
2423.75862068965517-1.75862068965517
2545.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
2643.758620689655170.241379310344827
2765.438596491228070.56140350877193
2865.438596491228070.56140350877193
2954.444444444444440.555555555555555
3066.75-0.75
3165.438596491228070.56140350877193
3244.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
3365.438596491228070.56140350877193
3466.75-0.75
3565.438596491228070.56140350877193
3623.75862068965517-1.75862068965517
3744.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
3855.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
3934.44444444444444-1.44444444444444
4076.750.25
4155.55555555555556-0.555555555555555
4233.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
4386.751.25
4486.751.25
4555.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
4663.758620689655172.24137931034483
4733.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
4855.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
4943.758620689655170.241379310344827
5055.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
5154.444444444444440.555555555555555
5265.438596491228070.56140350877193
5355.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
5466.75-0.75
5565.438596491228070.56140350877193
5643.758620689655170.241379310344827
5786.751.25
5865.555555555555560.444444444444445
5943.758620689655170.241379310344827
6065.438596491228070.56140350877193
6155.55555555555556-0.555555555555555
6255.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
6366.75-0.75
6465.438596491228070.56140350877193
6565.438596491228070.56140350877193
6664.444444444444441.55555555555556
6765.555555555555560.444444444444445
6865.438596491228070.56140350877193
6975.438596491228071.56140350877193
7043.758620689655170.241379310344827
7144.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
7235.43859649122807-2.43859649122807
7366.75-0.75
7455.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
7555.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
7633.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
7755.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
7844.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
7934.44444444444444-1.44444444444444
8076.750.25
8143.758620689655170.241379310344827
8245.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
8355.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
8465.438596491228070.56140350877193
8523.75862068965517-1.75862068965517
8623.75862068965517-1.75862068965517
8765.438596491228070.56140350877193
8843.758620689655170.241379310344827
8955.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
9065.438596491228070.56140350877193
9176.750.25
9286.751.25
9365.555555555555560.444444444444445
9465.555555555555560.444444444444445
9533.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
9676.750.25
9734.44444444444444-1.44444444444444
9865.438596491228070.56140350877193
9944.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
10045.55555555555556-1.55555555555556
10164.444444444444441.55555555555556
10265.438596491228070.56140350877193
10363.758620689655172.24137931034483
10444.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
10575.438596491228071.56140350877193
10655.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
10776.750.25
10843.758620689655170.241379310344827
10965.438596491228070.56140350877193
11065.438596491228070.56140350877193
11165.555555555555560.444444444444445
11255.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
11354.444444444444440.555555555555555
11465.438596491228070.56140350877193
11575.438596491228071.56140350877193
11645.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
11745.43859649122807-1.43859649122807
11886.751.25
11965.438596491228070.56140350877193
12033.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
12144.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
12255.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
12353.758620689655171.24137931034483
12465.438596491228070.56140350877193
12586.751.25
12625.43859649122807-3.43859649122807
12743.758620689655170.241379310344827
12876.750.25
12953.758620689655171.24137931034483
13065.438596491228070.56140350877193
13165.438596491228070.56140350877193
13244.44444444444444-0.444444444444445
13355.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
13465.438596491228070.56140350877193
13566.75-0.75
13666.75-0.75
13765.438596491228070.56140350877193
13855.43859649122807-0.43859649122807
13954.444444444444440.555555555555555
14066.75-0.75
14143.758620689655170.241379310344827
14264.444444444444441.55555555555556
14333.75862068965517-0.758620689655173
14464.444444444444441.55555555555556
14586.751.25
14646.75-2.75
 
Charts produced by software:
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/2eurq1292232800.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/2eurq1292232800.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/3eurq1292232800.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/3eurq1292232800.ps (open in new window)


http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/4ol8t1292232800.png (open in new window)
http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2010/Dec/13/t12922327726nfcqunamm82vp3/4ol8t1292232800.ps (open in new window)


 
Parameters (Session):
par1 = 8 ; par2 = none ; par4 = no ;
 
Parameters (R input):
par1 = 8 ; par2 = none ; par4 = no ;
 
R code (references can be found in the software module):
library(party)
library(Hmisc)
par1 <- as.numeric(par1)
par3 <- as.numeric(par3)
x <- data.frame(t(y))
is.data.frame(x)
x <- x[!is.na(x[,par1]),]
k <- length(x[1,])
n <- length(x[,1])
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'kmeans') {
cl <- kmeans(x[,par1], par3)
print(cl)
clm <- matrix(cbind(cl$centers,1:par3),ncol=2)
clm <- clm[sort.list(clm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
cl$cluster[cl$cluster==clm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
cl$cluster <- as.factor(cl$cluster)
print(cl$cluster)
x[,par1] <- cl$cluster
}
if (par2 == 'quantiles') {
x[,par1] <- cut2(x[,par1],g=par3)
}
if (par2 == 'hclust') {
hc <- hclust(dist(x[,par1])^2, 'cen')
print(hc)
memb <- cutree(hc, k = par3)
dum <- c(mean(x[memb==1,par1]))
for (i in 2:par3) {
dum <- c(dum, mean(x[memb==i,par1]))
}
hcm <- matrix(cbind(dum,1:par3),ncol=2)
hcm <- hcm[sort.list(hcm[,1]),]
for (i in 1:par3) {
memb[memb==hcm[i,2]] <- paste('C',i,sep='')
}
memb <- as.factor(memb)
print(memb)
x[,par1] <- memb
}
if (par2=='equal') {
ed <- cut(as.numeric(x[,par1]),par3,labels=paste('C',1:par3,sep=''))
x[,par1] <- as.factor(ed)
}
table(x[,par1])
colnames(x)
colnames(x)[par1]
x[,par1]
if (par2 == 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste(colnames(x)[par1],' ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
}
load(file='createtable')
if (par2 != 'none') {
m <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data = x)
if (par4=='yes') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'10-Fold Cross Validation',3+2*par3,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (training)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Prediction (testing)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actual',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,paste('C',jjj,sep=''),1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'CV',1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:10) {
ind <- sample(2, nrow(x), replace=T, prob=c(0.9,0.1))
m.ct <- ctree(as.formula(paste('as.factor(',colnames(x)[par1],') ~ .',sep='')),data =x[ind==1,])
if (i==1) {
m.ct.i.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,])
m.ct.i.actu <- x[ind==1,par1]
m.ct.x.pred <- predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,])
m.ct.x.actu <- x[ind==2,par1]
} else {
m.ct.i.pred <- c(m.ct.i.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==1,]))
m.ct.i.actu <- c(m.ct.i.actu,x[ind==1,par1])
m.ct.x.pred <- c(m.ct.x.pred,predict(m.ct, newdata=x[ind==2,]))
m.ct.x.actu <- c(m.ct.x.actu,x[ind==2,par1])
}
}
print(m.ct.i.tab <- table(m.ct.i.actu,m.ct.i.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.i.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.i.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.i.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.i.tab))
print(m.ct.x.tab <- table(m.ct.x.actu,m.ct.x.pred))
numer <- 0
for (i in 1:par3) {
print(m.ct.x.tab[i,i] / sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]))
numer <- numer + m.ct.x.tab[i,i]
}
print(m.ct.x.cp <- numer / sum(m.ct.x.tab))
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.i.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.i.tab[i,]),4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,m.ct.x.tab[i,jjj])
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.tab[i,i]/sum(m.ct.x.tab[i,]),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Overall',1,TRUE)
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.i.cp,4))
for (jjj in 1:par3) a<-table.element(a,'-')
a<-table.element(a,round(m.ct.x.cp,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable3.tab')
}
}
m
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test1a.png')
plot(x[,par1] ~ as.factor(where(m)),main='Response by Terminal Node',xlab='Terminal Node',ylab='Response')
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
forec <- predict(m)
result <- as.data.frame(cbind(x[,par1],forec,x[,par1]-forec))
colnames(result) <- c('Actuals','Forecasts','Residuals')
print(result)
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
print(cbind(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m)))
myt <- table(as.factor(x[,par1]),predict(m))
print(myt)
}
bitmap(file='test2.png')
if(par2=='none') {
op <- par(mfrow=c(2,2))
plot(density(result$Actuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Actuals')
plot(density(result$Residuals),main='Kernel Density Plot of Residuals')
plot(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals,main='Actuals versus Predictions',xlab='Predictions',ylab='Actuals')
plot(density(result$Forecasts),main='Kernel Density Plot of Predictions')
par(op)
}
if(par2!='none') {
plot(myt,main='Confusion Matrix',xlab='Actual',ylab='Predicted')
}
dev.off()
if (par2 == 'none') {
detcoef <- cor(result$Forecasts,result$Actuals)
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Goodness of Fit',2,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Correlation',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'R-squared',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(detcoef*detcoef,4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'RMSE',1,TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,round(sqrt(mean((result$Residuals)^2)),4))
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable1.tab')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals, Predictions, and Residuals',4,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'#',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Actuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Forecasts',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Residuals',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(result$Actuals)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,result$Actuals[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Forecasts[i])
a<-table.element(a,result$Residuals[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
}
if (par2 != 'none') {
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Confusion Matrix (predicted in columns / actuals in rows)',par3+1,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'',1,TRUE)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:par3) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,paste('C',i,sep=''),1,TRUE)
for (j in 1:par3) {
a<-table.element(a,myt[i,j])
}
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable2.tab')
}
 





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