@Manual{KEY,
author = {{YOUR NAME}},
publisher = {Office for Research Development and Education},
title = {Statistical Computations at FreeStatistics.org, URL http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02.htm/},
year = {2009},
}
@Manual{R,
title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
author = {{R Development Core Team}},
organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
address = {Vienna, Austria},
year = {2009},
note = {{ISBN} 3-900051-07-0},
url = {http://www.R-project.org},
}
|
Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages | t | Observations | Fit | Trend | Seasonal | Random | 1 | 87.28 | NA | NA | -0.301828304597699 | NA | 2 | 87.28 | NA | NA | 0.149464798850575 | NA | 3 | 87.09 | NA | NA | 2.34322916666667 | NA | 4 | 86.92 | NA | NA | 2.23103089080460 | NA | 5 | 87.59 | NA | NA | 2.10794181034483 | NA | 6 | 90.72 | NA | NA | 0.599048132183907 | NA | 7 | 90.69 | 86.5930998563218 | 88.5404166666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 4.09690014367816 | 8 | 90.3 | 86.7099389367816 | 88.5125 | -1.80256106321839 | 3.59006106321839 | 9 | 89.55 | 86.9045797413793 | 88.4645833333333 | -1.56000359195402 | 2.64542025862070 | 10 | 88.94 | 86.9673814655172 | 88.3983333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.97261853448275 | 11 | 88.41 | 88.0866774425288 | 88.2804166666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.323322557471243 | 12 | 87.82 | 87.7806860632184 | 87.975 | -0.194313936781611 | 0.039313936781582 | 13 | 87.07 | 87.211088362069 | 87.5129166666667 | -0.301828304597699 | -0.141088362068984 | 14 | 86.82 | 87.1907147988506 | 87.04125 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.370714798850585 | 15 | 86.4 | 88.9161458333333 | 86.5729166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -2.51614583333334 | 16 | 86.02 | 88.315614224138 | 86.0845833333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.29561422413792 | 17 | 85.66 | 87.6687751436782 | 85.5608333333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -2.00877514367816 | 18 | 85.32 | 85.6144647988506 | 85.0154166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -0.294464798850584 | 19 | 85 | 82.5172665229885 | 84.4645833333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 2.48273347701149 | 20 | 84.67 | 82.055772270115 | 83.8583333333333 | -1.80256106321839 | 2.61422772988504 | 21 | 83.94 | 81.261246408046 | 82.82125 | -1.56000359195402 | 2.67875359195403 | 22 | 82.83 | 79.9661314655173 | 81.3970833333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 2.86386853448275 | 23 | 81.95 | 79.8345941091954 | 80.0283333333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 2.11540589080461 | 24 | 81.19 | 78.7102693965517 | 78.9045833333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 2.47973060344827 | 25 | 80.48 | 77.7456716954023 | 78.0475 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.73432830459770 | 26 | 78.86 | 77.5269647988506 | 77.3775 | 0.149464798850575 | 1.33303520114941 | 27 | 69.47 | 79.3353125 | 76.9920833333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -9.8653125 | 28 | 68.77 | 79.1343642241379 | 76.9033333333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -10.3643642241379 | 29 | 70.06 | 79.1208584770115 | 77.0129166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -9.0608584770115 | 30 | 73.95 | 77.8744647988506 | 77.2754166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -3.92446479885058 | 31 | 75.8 | 75.6897665229885 | 77.6370833333334 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.110233477011477 | 32 | 77.79 | 76.258272270115 | 78.0608333333333 | -1.80256106321839 | 1.53172772988506 | 33 | 81.57 | 77.3158297413793 | 78.8758333333333 | -1.56000359195402 | 4.25417025862069 | 34 | 83.07 | 78.7711314655172 | 80.2020833333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 4.29886853448276 | 35 | 84.34 | 81.3795941091954 | 81.5733333333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 2.96040589080461 | 36 | 85.1 | 82.4369360632184 | 82.63125 | -0.194313936781611 | 2.66306393678161 | 37 | 85.25 | 83.067338362069 | 83.3691666666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.18266163793103 | 38 | 84.26 | 84.0290481321839 | 83.8795833333333 | 0.149464798850575 | 0.230951867816103 | 39 | 83.63 | 86.4186458333333 | 84.0754166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -2.78864583333333 | 40 | 86.44 | 86.1985308908046 | 83.9675 | 2.23103089080460 | 0.241469109195407 | 41 | 85.3 | 85.7587751436782 | 83.6508333333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -0.458775143678167 | 42 | 84.1 | 83.9177981321839 | 83.31875 | 0.599048132183907 | 0.18220186781609 | 43 | 83.36 | 81.0993498563218 | 83.0466666666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 2.26065014367818 | 44 | 82.48 | 80.9474389367816 | 82.75 | -1.80256106321839 | 1.53256106321840 | 45 | 81.58 | 80.8854130747126 | 82.4454166666667 | -1.56000359195402 | 0.694586925287368 | 46 | 80.47 | 80.5548814655173 | 81.9858333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | -0.084881465517256 | 47 | 79.34 | 81.2004274425287 | 81.3941666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | -1.86042744252873 | 48 | 82.13 | 80.6331860632184 | 80.8275 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.49681393678162 | 49 | 81.69 | 79.9602550287356 | 80.2620833333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 1.72974497126438 | 50 | 80.7 | 79.8319647988506 | 79.6825 | 0.149464798850575 | 0.86803520114944 | 51 | 79.88 | 81.4373958333333 | 79.0941666666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -1.55739583333335 | 52 | 79.16 | 80.9376975574713 | 78.7066666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -1.77769755747126 | 53 | 78.38 | 80.7796084770115 | 78.6716666666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -2.39960847701150 | 54 | 77.42 | 79.2348814655172 | 78.6358333333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -1.81488146551725 | 55 | 76.47 | 76.4735165229885 | 78.4208333333333 | -1.94731681034483 | -0.00351652298849103 | 56 | 75.46 | 76.3741056034483 | 78.1766666666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.914105603448292 | 57 | 74.48 | 76.547496408046 | 78.1075 | -1.56000359195402 | -2.06749640804597 | 58 | 78.27 | 76.8090481321839 | 78.24 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.46095186781609 | 59 | 80.7 | 78.195010775862 | 78.38875 | -0.193739224137930 | 2.50498922413793 | 60 | 79.91 | 78.3252693965517 | 78.5195833333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.58473060344829 | 61 | 78.75 | 78.3440050287356 | 78.6458333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 0.405994971264377 | 62 | 77.78 | 78.9194647988506 | 78.77 | 0.149464798850575 | -1.13946479885057 | 63 | 81.14 | 81.2353125 | 78.8920833333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -0.0953124999999915 | 64 | 81.08 | 81.3376975574713 | 79.1066666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -0.257697557471261 | 65 | 80.03 | 81.3491918103448 | 79.24125 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.31919181034482 | 66 | 78.91 | 79.7707147988506 | 79.1716666666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -0.86071479885058 | 67 | 78.01 | 77.1172665229885 | 79.0645833333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.892733477011504 | 68 | 76.9 | 77.1391056034483 | 78.9416666666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.239105603448266 | 69 | 75.97 | 77.0458297413793 | 78.6058333333333 | -1.56000359195402 | -1.07582974137929 | 70 | 81.93 | 76.7111314655172 | 78.1420833333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 5.21886853448278 | 71 | 80.27 | 77.5866774425287 | 77.7804166666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 2.68332255747127 | 72 | 78.67 | 77.242352729885 | 77.4366666666667 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.42764727011496 | 73 | 77.42 | 76.7606716954023 | 77.0625 | -0.301828304597699 | 0.659328304597707 | 74 | 76.16 | 76.8023814655172 | 76.6529166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.642381465517246 | 75 | 74.7 | 78.7173958333333 | 76.3741666666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -4.01739583333334 | 76 | 76.39 | 78.246864224138 | 76.0158333333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -1.85686422413794 | 77 | 76.04 | 77.5925251436782 | 75.4845833333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.55252514367815 | 78 | 74.65 | 75.6119647988506 | 75.0129166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -0.961964798850573 | 79 | 73.29 | 72.6380998563218 | 74.5854166666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.651900143678176 | 80 | 71.79 | 72.3866056034483 | 74.1891666666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.596605603448268 | 81 | 74.39 | 72.247496408046 | 73.8075 | -1.56000359195402 | 2.14250359195402 | 82 | 74.91 | 71.9448814655173 | 73.3758333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 2.96511853448274 | 83 | 74.54 | 72.6791774425287 | 72.8729166666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 1.86082255747127 | 84 | 73.08 | 72.2069360632184 | 72.40125 | -0.194313936781611 | 0.873063936781605 | 85 | 72.75 | 71.6490050287356 | 71.9508333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 1.10099497126438 | 86 | 71.32 | 71.7648814655172 | 71.6154166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.444881465517241 | 87 | 70.38 | 73.6619791666667 | 71.31875 | 2.34322916666667 | -3.28197916666667 | 88 | 70.35 | 73.0864475574713 | 70.8554166666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.73644755747127 | 89 | 70.01 | 72.4029418103448 | 70.295 | 2.10794181034483 | -2.39294181034482 | 90 | 69.36 | 70.4102981321839 | 69.81125 | 0.599048132183907 | -1.05029813218393 | 91 | 67.77 | 67.4268498563218 | 69.3741666666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.343150143678159 | 92 | 69.26 | 67.0753556034483 | 68.8779166666667 | -1.80256106321839 | 2.18464439655173 | 93 | 69.8 | 66.907496408046 | 68.4675 | -1.56000359195402 | 2.89250359195401 | 94 | 68.38 | 66.5932147988506 | 68.0241666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.78678520114943 | 95 | 67.62 | 67.1533441091954 | 67.3470833333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.466655890804603 | 96 | 68.39 | 66.4706860632184 | 66.665 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.91931393678162 | 97 | 66.95 | 65.7602550287356 | 66.0620833333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 1.18974497126439 | 98 | 65.21 | 65.4586314655172 | 65.3091666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.248631465517249 | 99 | 66.64 | 66.8207291666667 | 64.4775 | 2.34322916666667 | -0.180729166666666 | 100 | 63.45 | 65.9114475574713 | 63.6804166666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.46144755747127 | 101 | 60.66 | 65.1408584770115 | 63.0329166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -4.4808584770115 | 102 | 62.34 | 63.1198814655172 | 62.5208333333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -0.779881465517242 | 103 | 60.32 | 60.3214331896552 | 62.26875 | -1.94731681034483 | -0.00143318965518091 | 104 | 58.64 | 60.9803556034483 | 62.7829166666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -2.34035560344828 | 105 | 60.46 | 62.762496408046 | 64.3225 | -1.56000359195402 | -2.30249640804598 | 106 | 58.59 | 65.1748814655172 | 66.6058333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | -6.58488146551724 | 107 | 61.87 | 69.045010775862 | 69.23875 | -0.193739224137930 | -7.17501077586207 | 108 | 61.85 | 71.7219360632184 | 71.91625 | -0.194313936781611 | -9.8719360632184 | 109 | 67.44 | 74.196088362069 | 74.4979166666667 | -0.301828304597699 | -6.75608836206897 | 110 | 77.06 | 77.2519647988506 | 77.1025 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.191964798850563 | 111 | 91.74 | 81.9048958333333 | 79.5616666666667 | 2.34322916666667 | 9.83510416666667 | 112 | 93.15 | 84.1297808908046 | 81.89875 | 2.23103089080460 | 9.02021910919541 | 113 | 94.15 | 86.2796084770115 | 84.1716666666667 | 2.10794181034483 | 7.87039152298851 | 114 | 93.11 | 86.8769647988506 | 86.2779166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | 6.23303520114943 | 115 | 91.51 | 86.0639331896552 | 88.01125 | -1.94731681034483 | 5.44606681034485 | 116 | 89.96 | 87.1828556034483 | 88.9854166666667 | -1.80256106321839 | 2.77714439655171 | 117 | 88.16 | 87.2641630747126 | 88.8241666666667 | -1.56000359195402 | 0.895836925287355 | 118 | 86.98 | 86.4373814655172 | 87.8683333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 0.54261853448277 | 119 | 88.03 | 86.497510775862 | 86.69125 | -0.193739224137930 | 1.53248922413792 | 120 | 86.24 | 85.207352729885 | 85.4016666666667 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.03264727011494 | 121 | 84.65 | 83.8119216954023 | 84.11375 | -0.301828304597699 | 0.838078304597715 | 122 | 83.23 | 83.0036314655172 | 82.8541666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 0.226368534482759 | 123 | 81.7 | 83.9857291666667 | 81.6425 | 2.34322916666667 | -2.28572916666667 | 124 | 80.25 | 82.8047808908046 | 80.57375 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.55478089080458 | 125 | 78.8 | 81.7491918103448 | 79.64125 | 2.10794181034483 | -2.94919181034483 | 126 | 77.51 | 79.3661314655173 | 78.7670833333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -1.85613146551725 | 127 | 76.2 | 76.0501831896552 | 77.9975 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.149816810344831 | 128 | 75.04 | 75.635772270115 | 77.4383333333333 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.595772270114935 | 129 | 74 | 75.451246408046 | 77.01125 | -1.56000359195402 | -1.45124640804598 | 130 | 75.49 | 75.2407147988506 | 76.6716666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 0.249285201149419 | 131 | 77.14 | 76.2658441091954 | 76.4595833333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.874155890804616 | 132 | 76.15 | 76.0706860632184 | 76.265 | -0.194313936781611 | 0.0793139367816167 | 133 | 76.27 | 75.746088362069 | 76.0479166666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 0.523911637931036 | 134 | 78.19 | 75.9615481321839 | 75.8120833333333 | 0.149464798850575 | 2.22845186781609 | 135 | 76.49 | 77.8894791666667 | 75.54625 | 2.34322916666667 | -1.39947916666667 | 136 | 77.31 | 77.4881142241379 | 75.2570833333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -0.178114224137914 | 137 | 76.65 | 77.1825251436782 | 75.0745833333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -0.532525143678157 | 138 | 74.99 | 75.5844647988506 | 74.9854166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -0.594464798850595 | 139 | 73.51 | 72.9285165229885 | 74.8758333333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.581483477011503 | 140 | 72.07 | 72.7553556034483 | 74.5579166666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.685355603448286 | 141 | 70.59 | 72.507496408046 | 74.0675 | -1.56000359195402 | -1.91749640804596 | 142 | 71.96 | 72.4148814655172 | 73.8458333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | -0.454881465517246 | 143 | 76.29 | 73.622510775862 | 73.81625 | -0.193739224137930 | 2.66748922413794 | 144 | 74.86 | 73.6527693965517 | 73.8470833333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.20723060344827 | 145 | 74.93 | 73.7190050287356 | 74.0208333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 1.21099497126437 | 146 | 71.9 | 74.3811314655172 | 74.2316666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -2.48113146551722 | 147 | 71.01 | 76.7803125 | 74.4370833333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -5.77031249999999 | 148 | 77.47 | 76.7981142241379 | 74.5670833333333 | 2.23103089080460 | 0.67188577586208 | 149 | 75.78 | 76.5733584770115 | 74.4654166666666 | 2.10794181034483 | -0.793358477011466 | 150 | 76.6 | 74.7952981321839 | 74.19625 | 0.599048132183907 | 1.80470186781609 | 151 | 76.07 | 71.8955998563218 | 73.8429166666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 4.17440014367816 | 152 | 74.57 | 71.6624389367816 | 73.465 | -1.80256106321839 | 2.90756106321838 | 153 | 73.02 | 71.6979130747126 | 73.2579166666667 | -1.56000359195402 | 1.32208692528737 | 154 | 72.65 | 71.5619647988506 | 72.9929166666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.08803520114944 | 155 | 73.16 | 72.3566774425287 | 72.5504166666666 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.803322557471276 | 156 | 71.53 | 71.812352729885 | 72.0066666666667 | -0.194313936781611 | -0.282352729885048 | 157 | 69.78 | 71.019838362069 | 71.3216666666667 | -0.301828304597699 | -1.23983836206895 | 158 | 67.98 | 70.7461314655172 | 70.5966666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -2.76613146551723 | 159 | 69.96 | 72.5415625 | 70.1983333333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -2.58156250000002 | 160 | 72.16 | 72.3389475574713 | 70.1079166666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -0.178947557471261 | 161 | 70.47 | 72.0266918103448 | 69.91875 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.55669181034483 | 162 | 68.86 | 70.2544647988506 | 69.6554166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | -1.39446479885058 | 163 | 67.37 | 67.4701831896552 | 69.4175 | -1.94731681034483 | -0.100183189655169 | 164 | 65.87 | 67.4236889367816 | 69.22625 | -1.80256106321839 | -1.55368893678160 | 165 | 72.16 | 67.471246408046 | 69.03125 | -1.56000359195402 | 4.68875359195401 | 166 | 71.34 | 67.4352981321839 | 68.86625 | -1.43095186781609 | 3.90470186781609 | 167 | 69.93 | 68.5904274425287 | 68.7841666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 1.33957255747126 | 168 | 68.44 | 68.548602729885 | 68.7429166666667 | -0.194313936781611 | -0.108602729885064 | 169 | 67.16 | 68.4344216954023 | 68.73625 | -0.301828304597699 | -1.27442169540230 | 170 | 66.01 | 68.9086314655172 | 68.7591666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -2.89863146551723 | 171 | 67.25 | 70.8144791666667 | 68.47125 | 2.34322916666667 | -3.56447916666667 | 172 | 70.91 | 70.1976975574712 | 67.9666666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | 0.712302442528753 | 173 | 69.75 | 69.7112751436782 | 67.6033333333333 | 2.10794181034483 | 0.0387248563218492 | 174 | 68.59 | 67.8815481321839 | 67.2825 | 0.599048132183907 | 0.708451867816095 | 175 | 67.48 | 65.0768498563218 | 67.0241666666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 2.40315014367818 | 176 | 66.31 | 64.9078556034483 | 66.7104166666667 | -1.80256106321839 | 1.40214439655173 | 177 | 64.81 | 64.598746408046 | 66.15875 | -1.56000359195402 | 0.211253591954033 | 178 | 66.58 | 63.8669647988506 | 65.2979166666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 2.71303520114942 | 179 | 65.97 | 64.0845941091954 | 64.2783333333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 1.88540589080459 | 180 | 64.7 | 63.1065193965517 | 63.3008333333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.59348060344828 | 181 | 64.7 | 61.9302550287356 | 62.2320833333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.76974497126438 | 182 | 60.94 | 61.1098814655172 | 60.9604166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.169881465517236 | 183 | 59.08 | 61.9803125 | 59.6370833333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -2.9003125 | 184 | 58.42 | 60.4868642241379 | 58.2558333333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.06686422413792 | 185 | 57.77 | 58.8883584770115 | 56.7804166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.11835847701148 | 186 | 57.11 | 55.9365481321839 | 55.3375 | 0.599048132183907 | 1.17345186781610 | 187 | 53.31 | 51.9560165229885 | 53.9033333333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 1.35398347701150 | 188 | 49.96 | 50.7824389367816 | 52.585 | -1.80256106321839 | -0.822438936781602 | 189 | 49.4 | 49.901246408046 | 51.46125 | -1.56000359195402 | -0.501246408045979 | 190 | 48.84 | 49.1007147988506 | 50.5316666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | -0.260714798850572 | 191 | 48.3 | 49.5854274425287 | 49.7791666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | -1.28542744252874 | 192 | 47.74 | 48.8715193965517 | 49.0658333333333 | -0.194313936781611 | -1.13151939655172 | 193 | 47.24 | 48.1865050287356 | 48.4883333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | -0.94650502873563 | 194 | 46.76 | 48.6002981321839 | 48.4508333333333 | 0.149464798850575 | -1.84029813218390 | 195 | 46.29 | 51.1594791666667 | 48.81625 | 2.34322916666667 | -4.86947916666666 | 196 | 48.9 | 51.4135308908046 | 49.1825 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.51353089080460 | 197 | 49.23 | 51.6679418103448 | 49.56 | 2.10794181034483 | -2.43794181034483 | 198 | 48.53 | 50.5377981321839 | 49.93875 | 0.599048132183907 | -2.00779813218392 | 199 | 48.03 | 48.3618498563219 | 50.3091666666667 | -1.94731681034483 | -0.331849856321853 | 200 | 54.34 | 49.1836889367816 | 50.98625 | -1.80256106321839 | 5.15631106321839 | 201 | 53.79 | 51.2470797413793 | 52.8070833333333 | -1.56000359195402 | 2.54292025862069 | 202 | 53.24 | 53.8777981321839 | 55.30875 | -1.43095186781609 | -0.63779813218391 | 203 | 52.96 | 57.4104274425287 | 57.6041666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | -4.45042744252874 | 204 | 52.17 | 59.7256860632184 | 59.92 | -0.194313936781611 | -7.55568606321839 | 205 | 51.7 | 61.9706716954023 | 62.2725 | -0.301828304597699 | -10.2706716954023 | 206 | 58.55 | 65.2957147988506 | 65.14625 | 0.149464798850575 | -6.74571479885057 | 207 | 78.2 | 71.5315625 | 69.1883333333333 | 2.34322916666667 | 6.66843750000001 | 208 | 77.03 | 76.2076975574712 | 73.9766666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | 0.822302442528752 | 209 | 76.19 | 81.0050251436782 | 78.8970833333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -4.81502514367816 | 210 | 77.15 | 84.2798814655172 | 83.6808333333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -7.12988146551723 | 211 | 75.87 | 86.3176831896552 | 88.265 | -1.94731681034483 | -10.4476831896552 | 212 | 95.47 | 90.6611889367816 | 92.46375 | -1.80256106321839 | 4.80881106321839 | 213 | 109.67 | 93.8741630747126 | 95.4341666666667 | -1.56000359195402 | 15.7958369252874 | 214 | 112.28 | 96.0844647988506 | 97.5154166666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 16.1955352011494 | 215 | 112.01 | 99.5804274425287 | 99.7741666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 12.4295725574713 | 216 | 107.93 | 101.819019396552 | 102.013333333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 6.11098060344828 | 217 | 105.96 | 103.741505028736 | 104.043333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.21849497126438 | 218 | 105.06 | 105.225298132184 | 105.075833333333 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.165298132183906 | 219 | 102.98 | 106.829479166667 | 104.48625 | 2.34322916666667 | -3.84947916666665 | 220 | 102.2 | 105.230614224138 | 102.999583333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -3.03061422413791 | 221 | 105.23 | 103.392941810345 | 101.285 | 2.10794181034483 | 1.83705818965518 | 222 | 101.85 | 100.351964798851 | 99.7529166666666 | 0.599048132183907 | 1.49803520114943 | 223 | 99.89 | 96.2589331896552 | 98.20625 | -1.94731681034483 | 3.63106681034485 | 224 | 96.23 | 94.822022270115 | 96.6245833333333 | -1.80256106321839 | 1.40797772988508 | 225 | 94.76 | 93.6966630747126 | 95.2566666666667 | -1.56000359195402 | 1.06333692528736 | 226 | 91.51 | 92.4357147988506 | 93.8666666666666 | -1.43095186781609 | -0.92571479885055 | 227 | 91.63 | 92.0979274425287 | 92.2916666666667 | -0.193739224137930 | -0.467927442528747 | 228 | 91.54 | 90.519852729885 | 90.7141666666667 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.02014727011495 | 229 | 85.23 | 89.1215050287356 | 89.4233333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | -3.89150502873561 | 230 | 87.83 | 89.2865481321839 | 89.1370833333333 | 0.149464798850575 | -1.45654813218391 | 231 | 87.38 | 92.1461458333333 | 89.8029166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -4.76614583333335 | 232 | 84.44 | 93.0822808908046 | 90.85125 | 2.23103089080460 | -8.6422808908046 | 233 | 85.19 | 94.2450251436782 | 92.1370833333333 | 2.10794181034483 | -9.05502514367817 | 234 | 84.03 | 93.6990481321839 | 93.1 | 0.599048132183907 | -9.6690481321839 | 235 | 86.73 | 91.8585165229885 | 93.8058333333333 | -1.94731681034483 | -5.12851652298848 | 236 | 102.52 | 93.454522270115 | 95.2570833333333 | -1.80256106321839 | 9.06547772988506 | 237 | 104.45 | 97.678746408046 | 99.23875 | -1.56000359195402 | 6.77125359195405 | 238 | 106.98 | 103.344881465517 | 104.775833333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 3.63511853448277 | 239 | 107.02 | 110.817094109195 | 111.010833333333 | -0.193739224137930 | -3.7970941091954 | 240 | 99.26 | 118.092352729885 | 118.286666666667 | -0.194313936781611 | -18.8323527298851 | 241 | 94.45 | 123.564005028736 | 123.865833333333 | -0.301828304597699 | -29.1140050287356 | 242 | 113.44 | 126.910298132184 | 126.760833333333 | 0.149464798850575 | -13.4702981321839 | 243 | 157.33 | 130.7803125 | 128.437083333333 | 2.34322916666667 | 26.5496875000000 | 244 | 147.38 | 131.718114224138 | 129.487083333333 | 2.23103089080460 | 15.6618857758621 | 245 | 171.89 | 132.092108477011 | 129.984166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | 39.7978915229885 | 246 | 171.95 | 131.501964798851 | 130.902916666667 | 0.599048132183907 | 40.4480352011494 | 247 | 132.71 | 130.696016522989 | 132.643333333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 2.01398347701149 | 248 | 126.02 | 132.273688936782 | 134.07625 | -1.80256106321839 | -6.2536889367816 | 249 | 121.18 | 130.994163074713 | 132.554166666667 | -1.56000359195402 | -9.81416307471264 | 250 | 115.45 | 127.629464798851 | 129.060416666667 | -1.43095186781609 | -12.1794647988506 | 251 | 110.48 | 124.357510775862 | 124.55125 | -0.193739224137930 | -13.8775107758621 | 252 | 117.85 | 118.279852729885 | 118.474166666667 | -0.194313936781611 | -0.429852729885056 | 253 | 117.63 | 113.703588362069 | 114.005416666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 3.92641163793105 | 254 | 124.65 | 111.589881465517 | 111.440416666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 13.0601185344828 | 255 | 109.59 | 111.296979166667 | 108.95375 | 2.34322916666667 | -1.70697916666666 | 256 | 111.27 | 108.719364224138 | 106.488333333333 | 2.23103089080460 | 2.55063577586208 | 257 | 99.78 | 106.734608477012 | 104.626666666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -6.9546084770115 | 258 | 98.21 | 103.535298132184 | 102.93625 | 0.599048132183907 | -5.32529813218389 | 259 | 99.2 | 98.9947665229885 | 100.942083333333 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.205233477011490 | 260 | 97.97 | 96.6899389367816 | 98.4925 | -1.80256106321839 | 1.28006106321841 | 261 | 89.55 | 94.7454130747126 | 96.3054166666667 | -1.56000359195402 | -5.19541307471263 | 262 | 87.91 | 93.2319647988506 | 94.6629166666667 | -1.43095186781609 | -5.32196479885059 | 263 | 93.34 | 93.1058441091954 | 93.2995833333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.234155890804601 | 264 | 94.42 | 92.2206860632184 | 92.415 | -0.194313936781611 | 2.19931393678161 | 265 | 93.2 | 91.0065050287356 | 91.3083333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.19349497126437 | 266 | 90.29 | 90.0061314655172 | 89.8566666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 0.283868534482764 | 267 | 91.46 | 90.8690625 | 88.5258333333333 | 2.34322916666667 | 0.590937499999981 | 268 | 89.98 | 89.6689475574713 | 87.4379166666667 | 2.23103089080460 | 0.311052442528748 | 269 | 88.35 | 88.6671084770115 | 86.5591666666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -0.317108477011502 | 270 | 88.41 | 86.8861314655172 | 86.2870833333333 | 0.599048132183907 | 1.52386853448276 | 271 | 82.44 | 84.1976831896552 | 86.145 | -1.94731681034483 | -1.75768318965518 | 272 | 79.89 | 83.7749389367816 | 85.5775 | -1.80256106321839 | -3.88493893678161 | 273 | 75.69 | 83.3558297413793 | 84.9158333333333 | -1.56000359195402 | -7.6658297413793 | 274 | 75.66 | 82.7077981321839 | 84.13875 | -1.43095186781609 | -7.04779813218391 | 275 | 84.5 | 83.0758441091954 | 83.2695833333333 | -0.193739224137930 | 1.42415589080458 | 276 | 96.73 | 81.9990193965517 | 82.1933333333333 | -0.194313936781611 | 14.7309806034483 | 277 | 87.48 | 80.823588362069 | 81.1254166666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 6.65641163793104 | 278 | 82.39 | 80.3823814655172 | 80.2329166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 2.00761853448276 | 279 | 83.48 | 81.7636458333334 | 79.4204166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | 1.71635416666665 | 280 | 79.31 | 81.0276975574713 | 78.7966666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -1.71769755747127 | 281 | 78.16 | 80.0158584770115 | 77.9079166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.85585847701149 | 282 | 72.77 | 76.7315481321839 | 76.1325 | 0.599048132183907 | -3.96154813218391 | 283 | 72.45 | 72.0868498563218 | 74.0341666666666 | -1.94731681034483 | 0.363150143678183 | 284 | 68.46 | 70.3311889367816 | 72.13375 | -1.80256106321839 | -1.87118893678162 | 285 | 67.62 | 68.5845797413793 | 70.1445833333333 | -1.56000359195402 | -0.964579741379296 | 286 | 68.76 | 66.9948814655172 | 68.4258333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.76511853448278 | 287 | 70.07 | 67.031260775862 | 67.225 | -0.193739224137930 | 3.03873922413793 | 288 | 68.55 | 65.821102729885 | 66.0154166666667 | -0.194313936781611 | 2.72889727011494 | 289 | 65.3 | 64.2815050287356 | 64.5833333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 1.01849497126437 | 290 | 58.96 | 63.4898814655172 | 63.3404166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -4.52988146551723 | 291 | 59.17 | 64.7053125 | 62.3620833333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -5.5353125 | 292 | 62.37 | 63.3956142241379 | 61.1645833333333 | 2.23103089080460 | -1.02561422413793 | 293 | 66.28 | 61.8533584770115 | 59.7454166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | 4.42664152298851 | 294 | 55.62 | 59.0198814655172 | 58.4208333333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -3.39988146551725 | 295 | 55.23 | 55.3976831896552 | 57.345 | -1.94731681034483 | -0.167683189655172 | 296 | 55.85 | 54.8936889367816 | 56.69625 | -1.80256106321839 | 0.9563110632184 | 297 | 56.75 | 54.8970797413793 | 56.4570833333333 | -1.56000359195402 | 1.85292025862069 | 298 | 50.89 | 54.9882147988506 | 56.4191666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | -4.09821479885058 | 299 | 53.88 | 55.7716774425287 | 55.9654166666667 | -0.193739224137930 | -1.89167744252874 | 300 | 52.95 | 55.2431860632184 | 55.4375 | -0.194313936781611 | -2.29318606321839 | 301 | 55.08 | 54.672338362069 | 54.9741666666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 0.407661637931035 | 302 | 53.61 | 54.2861314655172 | 54.1366666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | -0.676131465517244 | 303 | 58.78 | 55.7286458333333 | 53.3854166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | 3.05135416666666 | 304 | 61.85 | 55.2981142241379 | 53.0670833333333 | 2.23103089080460 | 6.55188577586207 | 305 | 55.91 | 55.1162751436782 | 53.0083333333333 | 2.10794181034483 | 0.793724856321845 | 306 | 53.32 | 53.3057147988506 | 52.7066666666667 | 0.599048132183907 | 0.014285201149427 | 307 | 46.41 | 50.2864331896552 | 52.23375 | -1.94731681034483 | -3.87643318965518 | 308 | 44.57 | 50.0491056034483 | 51.8516666666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -5.47910560344827 | 309 | 50 | 49.563746408046 | 51.12375 | -1.56000359195402 | 0.436253591954035 | 310 | 50 | 48.5957147988506 | 50.0266666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | 1.40428520114943 | 311 | 53.36 | 49.0266774425287 | 49.2204166666667 | -0.193739224137930 | 4.33332255747127 | 312 | 46.23 | 48.4952693965517 | 48.6895833333333 | -0.194313936781611 | -2.26526939655171 | 313 | 50.45 | 48.2756716954023 | 48.5775 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.17432830459772 | 314 | 49.07 | 49.0232147988506 | 48.87375 | 0.149464798850575 | 0.046785201149433 | 315 | 45.85 | 51.2611458333333 | 48.9179166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | -5.41114583333333 | 316 | 48.45 | 50.9360308908046 | 48.705 | 2.23103089080460 | -2.48603089080459 | 317 | 49.96 | 50.4441918103448 | 48.33625 | 2.10794181034483 | -0.484191810344825 | 318 | 46.53 | 48.8202981321839 | 48.22125 | 0.599048132183907 | -2.29029813218391 | 319 | 50.51 | 46.6080998563218 | 48.5554166666667 | -1.94731681034483 | 3.90190014367816 | 320 | 47.58 | 47.2461889367816 | 49.04875 | -1.80256106321839 | 0.333811063218391 | 321 | 48.05 | 48.2854130747126 | 49.8454166666667 | -1.56000359195402 | -0.235413074712646 | 322 | 46.84 | 49.2523814655172 | 50.6833333333333 | -1.43095186781609 | -2.41238146551724 | 323 | 47.67 | 51.1375107758621 | 51.33125 | -0.193739224137930 | -3.46751077586207 | 324 | 49.16 | 52.1565193965517 | 52.3508333333333 | -0.194313936781611 | -2.99651939655173 | 325 | 55.54 | 52.9202550287356 | 53.2220833333333 | -0.301828304597699 | 2.61974497126436 | 326 | 55.82 | 53.8886314655172 | 53.7391666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 1.93136853448276 | 327 | 58.22 | 57.0261458333333 | 54.6829166666667 | 2.34322916666667 | 1.19385416666668 | 328 | 56.19 | 58.1239475574712 | 55.8929166666667 | 2.23103089080460 | -1.93394755747125 | 329 | 57.77 | 59.5208584770115 | 57.4129166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | -1.75085847701148 | 330 | 63.19 | 60.1786314655172 | 59.5795833333333 | 0.599048132183907 | 3.01136853448277 | 331 | 54.76 | 59.9043498563218 | 61.8516666666667 | -1.94731681034483 | -5.14434985632183 | 332 | 55.74 | 62.6457722701149 | 64.4483333333333 | -1.80256106321839 | -6.90577227011493 | 333 | 62.54 | 66.5245797413793 | 68.0845833333333 | -1.56000359195402 | -3.98457974137931 | 334 | 61.39 | 70.5452981321839 | 71.97625 | -1.43095186781609 | -9.1552981321839 | 335 | 69.6 | 75.262510775862 | 75.45625 | -0.193739224137930 | -5.66251077586207 | 336 | 79.23 | 78.044852729885 | 78.2391666666666 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.18514727011497 | 337 | 80 | 80.1515050287356 | 80.4533333333333 | -0.301828304597699 | -0.151505028735599 | 338 | 93.68 | 82.7161314655173 | 82.5666666666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 10.9638685344828 | 339 | 107.63 | 86.4982291666667 | 84.155 | 2.34322916666667 | 21.1317708333333 | 340 | 100.18 | 87.9476975574713 | 85.7166666666667 | 2.23103089080460 | 12.2323024425287 | 341 | 97.3 | 89.6558584770115 | 87.5479166666667 | 2.10794181034483 | 7.64414152298849 | 342 | 90.45 | 89.3944647988506 | 88.7954166666667 | 0.599048132183907 | 1.05553520114943 | 343 | 80.64 | 88.3030998563218 | 90.2504166666667 | -1.94731681034483 | -7.66309985632184 | 344 | 80.58 | 89.5466056034483 | 91.3491666666667 | -1.80256106321839 | -8.96660560344827 | 345 | 75.82 | 89.092496408046 | 90.6525 | -1.56000359195402 | -13.2724964080460 | 346 | 85.59 | 88.0507147988506 | 89.4816666666667 | -1.43095186781609 | -2.46071479885056 | 347 | 89.35 | 88.4516774425287 | 88.6454166666666 | -0.193739224137930 | 0.898322557471275 | 348 | 89.42 | 87.5844360632184 | 87.77875 | -0.194313936781611 | 1.83556393678163 | 349 | 104.73 | 87.064838362069 | 87.3666666666667 | -0.301828304597699 | 17.6651616379310 | 350 | 95.32 | 87.8223814655172 | 87.6729166666667 | 0.149464798850575 | 7.49761853448275 | 351 | 89.27 | 90.6240625 | 88.2808333333333 | 2.34322916666667 | -1.35406249999998 | 352 | 90.44 | 90.6972808908046 | 88.46625 | 2.23103089080460 | -0.257280890804594 | 353 | 86.97 | 90.6441918103448 | 88.53625 | 2.10794181034483 | -3.67419181034481 | 354 | 79.98 | 89.8773814655172 | 89.2783333333333 | 0.599048132183907 | -9.89738146551724 | 355 | 81.22 | NA | NA | -1.94731681034483 | NA | 356 | 87.35 | NA | NA | -1.80256106321839 | NA | 357 | 83.64 | NA | NA | -1.56000359195402 | NA | 358 | 82.22 | NA | NA | -1.43095186781609 | NA | 359 | 94.4 | NA | NA | -0.193739224137930 | NA | 360 | 102.18 | NA | NA | -0.194313936781611 | NA |
| Charts produced by software: | | http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/18ryq1256025204.png (open in new window) | http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/18ryq1256025204.ps (open in new window) |
| http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/275ex1256025204.png (open in new window) | http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/275ex1256025204.ps (open in new window) |
| http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/3enc91256025204.png (open in new window) | http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/3enc91256025204.ps (open in new window) |
| http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/4waqg1256025204.png (open in new window) | http://www.freestatistics.org/blog/date/2009/Oct/20/t1256025310wvq26p04fv4ft02/4waqg1256025204.ps (open in new window) |
| | Parameters (Session): | par1 = additive ; par2 = 12 ; | | Parameters (R input): | par1 = additive ; par2 = 12 ; | | R code (references can be found in the software module): | par2 <- as.numeric(par2)
x <- ts(x,freq=par2)
m <- decompose(x,type=par1)
m$figure
bitmap(file='test1.png')
plot(m)
dev.off()
mylagmax <- length(x)/2
bitmap(file='test2.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
acf(as.numeric(x),lag.max = mylagmax,main='Observed')
acf(as.numeric(m$trend),na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Trend')
acf(as.numeric(m$seasonal),na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Seasonal')
acf(as.numeric(m$random),na.action=na.pass,lag.max = mylagmax,main='Random')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test3.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
spectrum(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
spectrum(as.numeric(m$trend[!is.na(m$trend)]),main='Trend')
spectrum(as.numeric(m$seasonal[!is.na(m$seasonal)]),main='Seasonal')
spectrum(as.numeric(m$random[!is.na(m$random)]),main='Random')
par(op)
dev.off()
bitmap(file='test4.png')
op <- par(mfrow = c(2,2))
cpgram(as.numeric(x),main='Observed')
cpgram(as.numeric(m$trend[!is.na(m$trend)]),main='Trend')
cpgram(as.numeric(m$seasonal[!is.na(m$seasonal)]),main='Seasonal')
cpgram(as.numeric(m$random[!is.na(m$random)]),main='Random')
par(op)
dev.off()
load(file='createtable')
a<-table.start()
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'Classical Decomposition by Moving Averages',6,TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,'t',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Observations',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Fit',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Trend',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Seasonal',header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,'Random',header=TRUE)
a<-table.row.end(a)
for (i in 1:length(m$trend)) {
a<-table.row.start(a)
a<-table.element(a,i,header=TRUE)
a<-table.element(a,x[i])
a<-table.element(a,m$trend[i]+m$seasonal[i])
a<-table.element(a,m$trend[i])
a<-table.element(a,m$seasonal[i])
a<-table.element(a,m$random[i])
a<-table.row.end(a)
}
a<-table.end(a)
table.save(a,file='mytable.tab')
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